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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.12 14:38l 114 Lines 4224 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU283
UGEOA 30512 21009 1219/ 9930/
11092 21092 30092
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 09 Oct 2012 until 11 Oct
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 108 / AP: 024
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Oct 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be eruptive for the next 48
hours, with risks of C class flares from two regions currently just
behind the east limb. One is located to the south and produced a CME, on
Oct. 8th, around 10:00 UT, and it is not expected to be geoeffective. A
partial halo CME observed on Oct. 7th, around 0830 UT, is going
essentially southward and is not likely to trigger any geoeffective
effects either. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be active during the
next 48 hours as the Earth is still under the influence of the ICME of
Oct. 8th. Moderate storm conditions (Kp=6) were still observed early on
Oct. 9th (from 0 to 6 UT).
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 046, BASED ON 18 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 21009 1219/ 08///
1//// 21030 3032/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
08 1105 1117 1123 M2.3
Partially occulted flare, behind the east limb
END
USSPS 32404 08083 05532 14021 38513 4/801 19019 30520 31408 20008
26112 2/801 21001 43508 01205
USSPS 21305 08164 02532 28004 25712 2/801 27010 31020 31404
UMAGF 30503 21009 1004/ 08064 1/069 25433 36455
UMAGF 31523 21009 ///// 0800/ 1/032 24354 33364
INDAA 21001
1/081 08103 30210 16008 00801 2/033
2/016 00500 50250 16012 01201 6/013
3/025 01601 20080 08008 00800 8/012
4/008 00500 20050 02002 00200 2/004
5/002 00500 50080 05016 01202 0/009
6/020 00800 80120 25024 01602 4/017
7/005 00800 50120 05002 01202 0/009
END
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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