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OK0NAG > SOLAR    29.10.12 14:30l 104 Lines 3973 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2012 12:33:38 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Sep 30 1232 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU274
UGEOA 30512 20930 1209/ 9930/
11302 21302 38302
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 30 Sep 2012 until 02 Oct 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Sep 2012  10CM FLUX: 138 / AP: 020
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Oct 2012  10CM FLUX: 138 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Oct 2012  10CM FLUX: 134 / AP: 001
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1583, close to the west limb, produced an M1.3 flare
on Sept. 30, 0433 UT. While additional M flares are possible, we expect

mostly eruptive conditions (C class flares likely) for the next 48 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be active with isolated periods

of minor storm conditions from now on and during the next 24 hours. A
weak shock signature is observed by ACE around 1000 UT (Sept. 30). The

coming hours will say if this is indeed the expected CME arrival.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 062, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20930 1209/ 29///
1//// 21360 3003/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
30  0427  0433 0442 N13W75 M1.3                                        
1583                     
END

USSPS 32404 29076 07032 03008 46407 2/801 06007 44409 21409 11015 
21509 21305 14034 23911 4/801 15004 46513 21404 
USSPS 21305 29155 07532 23024 23511 5/801 19016 21209 51304 13002 
35824 01202 12005 45806 3/801 24009 46109 31305 15005 45107 31402 
USSPS 81202 29064 07242 24013 46513 11406 13012 46207 2/801 16010 
44309 11408 20022 21608 41406 23037 23812 4/801 
UMAGF 30503 20930 1004/ 29067 1/008 21211 31111 
UMAGF 31523 20930 ///// 2900/ 1/003 20121 31111 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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