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OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.08.12 14:57l 114 Lines 4394 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Aug 08 1225 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU221
UGEOA 30512 20808 1210/ 9930/
12082 20082 30082
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 08 Aug 2012 until 10 Aug
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 131 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 133 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Aug 2012 10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 004
COMMENT: NOAA ARs 1540 and especially 1542 (no Catania numbers yet)
continue to produce solar flaring activity at the C-level. More C-class
flares are expected from these two sunspot groups, probably with an
isolated M-class flare. Another eruption of the long filament near the
solar central meridian in the southern hemisphere was detected early on
August 8. It was again accompanied by a weak, slow and narrow CME that
is not expected to be geoeffective. Late on August 7 the Earth entered
an interplanetary disturbance with slightly elevated interplanetary
magnetic field (IMF) magnitude (around 7-8 nT). The disturbance was most
probably associated with the halo CME detected on the Sun on August 4.
Both Dourbes and NOAA reported one interval of K = 4, and IZMIRAN
reported one interval of minor storm conditions (K = 5). Currently the
solar wind speed is around 400 km/s and the IMF magnitude is around 6
nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 080, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20808 1210/ 07///
1//// 21290 3008/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
USSPS 32404 07088 09122 64006 43418 21303 67004 40813 2/801 68009
31422 21403 69001 20520 11302 70010 21326 24407 72014 27214 21503
73013 18021 21302
USSPS 21305 07159 11632 75018 17922 51407 74015 26913 51308 73010
21125 21312 70001 20321 01203 68008 31622 21402 66002 43918 3/802
69005 41313 3/801 67001 37525 0/101
USSPS 81202 08002 10022 77016 17220 31403 70002 41612 3/801 67004
43817 31302 76012 26314 31409 72008 20326 34409 71002 30924 01203
69002 32024 31403
UMAGF 30503 20808 1004/ 07060 1/021 22221 32343
UMAGF 31523 20808 ///// 0700/ 1/008 22212 32233
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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