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OK0NAG > SOLAR    01.08.12 14:52l 121 Lines 4795 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Aug 01 1250 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU214
UGEOA 30512 20801 1012/ 9930/
11012 20012 30012
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 01 Aug 2012 until 03 Aug 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Aug 2012  10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Aug 2012  10CM FLUX: 148 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Aug 2012  10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has been at eruptive levels during the past 24

hours, featuring fourteen C flares from NOAA AR 11532, 11536, 11535,
11538 and 11528. The largest flare was a long duration C5.7 from NOAA AR

11535 peaking at 11:30 UT on July 31. It had an associated Type II radio

burst with estimated speed of 880 km/s along with a coronal mass
ejection seen off the East limb in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery and is not
expected to be geoeffective. C-level flares are very probable within the

next 48 hours, with a chance for an M flare.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels (K Dourbes between 1 and 3;
NOAA Kp between 1 and 2) during the past 24 hours. Quiet (K Dourbes
smaller than 4) levels are expected for August 1, 2 and 3.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 084, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20801 1012/ 31///
10146 21400 3007/ 4//// 80210 90820
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 20801 1012/ 01/06 01111
10022 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 44517 01000
10023 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 33909 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 472// 50140 60002 32818 00000
10027 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50330 60010 30118 16100
10030 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50110 60012 21022 00000
10031 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 33616 00000
10032 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50120 60013 14620 16100
10033 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 32017 00000
10034 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60006 26622 16100
10035 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 10517 00000
10036 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 17413 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 31053 09432 57001 43217 11302 58006 32511 2/801 60015 
31918 21402 62030 21218 57407 64012 16320 21406 65001 30321 1/801 
66008 22522 21405 
USSPS 21305 31161 12032 58001 43916 1/801 59004 33211 2/801 60015 
32219 2/801 62031 20619 54415 66011 15618 34408 67009 22225 31411 
68003 27324 11402 69002 18112 0/101 
USSPS 31405 01061 16142 22002 44517 2/902 23004 33909 2/901 24014 
32818 2/902 27033 30118 44410 30011 21022 25512 31001 33616 0/102 
32012 14620 24513 33001 32017 0/101 34005 26622 24406 35001 10517 
0/101 36002 17413 2/901 
UMAGF 30503 20801 1004/ 31062 1/010 21122 31212 
UMAGF 31523 20732 ///// 3100/ 1/007 22211 32322 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #

# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #

#                                                                    #

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