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OK0NAG > SOLAR    31.07.12 14:36l 129 Lines 5092 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jul 31 1233 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU213
UGEOA 30512 20731 0642/ 9930/
11312 21312 30312
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 31 Jul 2012 until 02 Aug 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jul 2012  10CM FLUX: 138 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Aug 2012  10CM FLUX: 141 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Aug 2012  10CM FLUX: 141 / AP: 020
COMMENT: Solar activity has been at active levels during the past 24
hours, featuring one M1.1 flare from NOAA AR 11536 peaking at 15:48 UT

on July 30, and six C flares from NOAA AR 11526, 11532 and 11535.
C-level flares are expected within the next 48 hours, with a chance for

an M flare.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels (K Dourbes between

0 and 4; NOAA Kp between 2 and 4) during the past 24 hours. Quiet levels

(K Dourbes < 4) with isolated active intervals (K Dourbes = 4) are
expected for July 31 due to continued coronal hole high speed solar wind

effects. On August 1st and the first half of August 2nd, quiet
conditions will likely prevail. In the second part of August 2nd, active

periods may occur due to effects from the CME of July 28.


TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 080, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20731 0642/ 30///
10142 21360 3018/ 4//// 80208 90910
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
30  1539  1548 1553 S22E28 M1.1 SN                                     
1536                     
END

UGEOR 30512 20731 0642/ 31/07 31110
10022 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60004 43017 01000
10023 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 32609 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50210 60003 31519 00000
10027 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50350 60012 21218 15200
10029 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 32527 00000
10030 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60008 22222 00000
10031 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 32315 00000
10032 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60007 16120 04100
10033 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 30718 04000
10034 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 28122 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 30101 09032 57002 42118 2/802 58003 31411 2/802 60013 
30518 2/801 62052 22921 51616 63001 31328 11302 64015 17518 34507 
USSPS 21305 30158 11532 58001 42517 1/802 59005 31811 2/802 60015 
30919 2/801 62033 21920 41414 63001 31629 01205 66009 16918 21411 
67008 23123 41410 
USSPS 81202 31025 12022 67030 16118 34416 64021 21219 54415 68018 
22522 31409 66003 20122 2/802 62004 31417 2/801 61007 32412 21305 
60006 42915 21302 
USSPS 31405 31070 14632 22002 43017 21304 23004 32609 2/901 24021 
31519 21303 27035 21218 44412 29001 32527 01202 30008 22222 25408 
31001 32315 01204 32008 16120 24407 33001 30718 01204 34001 28122 
0/101 
UMAGF 30503 20731 1004/ 30065 1/024 22234 34222 
UMAGF 31523 20731 ///// 3000/ 1/018 22233 33542 
UCMEO 93001 20730 2050/ 20728 62112 80954 0291/ 246// 123// 30551 
20728 62048 82106 25425 11532 1112/ 99999 PLAIN 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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#                                                                    #

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