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OK0NAG > SOLAR 28.07.12 13:48l 119 Lines 4583 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jul 28 1146 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU210
UGEOA 30512 20728 1138/ 9930/
11282 21282 38282
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 28 Jul 2012 until 30 Jul
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 126 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 129 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 005
COMMENT: An M2.7 flare peaking at 17.26UT, July 27 from NOAA AR 1532
was associated with a CME. According to STEREO B/COR2, the CME has a
speed of 300 km/s. The location of the source region, the southward
component of the CME direction and the slow speed, let us conclude that
the CME will not impact the Earth. A magnetic structure is seen in the
solar wind. The geomagnetic conditions however are quiet. Active
conditions are possible when the fast solar wind speed from the coronal
hole now located on the west side of the central meridian hits Earth.
The proton flux >10MeV is still elevated but a slow decreasing trend is
seen in the curve.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 070, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20728 1138/ 27///
10146 21231 3005/ 4//// 80310 90420
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
27 1717 1726 1732 S18E62 M2.7 SF 340 III/3,II/1
27 1532 CME
END
UGEOR 30512 20728 1138/ 27/08 28110
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 31817 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60005 12217 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 472// 50050 60002 22511 01000
10024 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50140 60004 22719 00000
10025 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 46114 00000
10026 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 46215 00000
10027 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50070 60013 26720 04100
10028 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 10601 00000
10029 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 22528 01000
10030 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60002 28023 03100
99999
USSPS 32404 27064 07722 56001 31417 0/102 57002 12317 2/801 58003
22811 2/801 60013 23819 21303 61004 46115 21405 62016 26519 21305
USSPS 21305 27157 10032 58003 11517 3/803 62024 26521 51615 60015
23319 51302 59004 22212 2/801 63004 22328 31305 56001 32016 0/101
61004 46714 01203
USSPS 81202 28015 09032 60006 11117 21303 61005 21511 21301 62010
22420 41304 65003 21830 21314 64042 25722 4/604 63006 47017 21304
UMAGF 31523 20728 ///// 2700/ 1/005 20222 31212
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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