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OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.06.08 22:56l 74 Lines 2982 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 7 Jun 2008 22:01:39 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jun 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 159 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to unsettled levels. ACE
solar wind data indicated the unsettled levels were due to increased
solar wind velocities and IMF changes associated with a solar sector
boundary crossing at around 07/0900Z (away to toward orientation).
Velocities reached a peak of 551 km/sec at 07/1604Z, then gradually
decreased. IMF changes included increased Bt (peak reading 10 nT at
07/0856Z) and mostly southward Bz after 07/0530Z (minimum -7 nT at
07/0652Z).
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the period (08 - 10
June).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Jun 066
Predicted 08 Jun-10 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 07 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun 007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jun 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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