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OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.07.12 14:30l 118 Lines 4462 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Fri, 20 Jul 2012 12:26:39 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jul 20 1225 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU202
UGEOA 30512 20720 1214/ 9930/
11202 20202 30202
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 20 Jul 2012 until 22 Jul
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Jul 2012 10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 007
COMMENT: No flares in past 24h. NOAA ARs 1520 and 1521 rotated behind
the west limb leaving the visible solar disc with three active regions
with beta magnetic configuration, that may produce C-class flares in the
coming hours. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels until
July 22-23 when recurrent NOAA ARs 1513 and 1515 rotate into the visible
solar disc (produced M and X-class flares in past rotation). A weak
shock was detected at ACE at 04:21 UT, produced most likely by the CME
from July 17. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so
until tomorrow, when the shock (and possibly flank encounter) with the
halo CME from July 19 occurs.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 023, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20720 1214/ 19///
10047 21001 3007/ 4//// 80003 90090
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
19 0417 0558 0656 M7.7 1000 IV/1,II/1,III/1
1520
END
UGEOR 30512 20720 1214/ 20/08 20104
10017 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50030 60004 36827 03000
10018 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 22016 02000
10019 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60004 21819 02000
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 27018 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 19090 03832 52008 35228 21403 54002 23316 21303 55007
23321 21402
USSPS 21305 19149 04032 54002 23018 21303 55004 22820 21303 53008
35428 31304
USSPS 81202 19071 04332 54006 35328 11406 57001 23215 0/102 56005
23318 21305
USSPS 81202 20014 02632 54002 36227 01202 57008 22219 21304
USSPS 31405 20085 05432 17003 36827 24404 18001 22016 01204 19004
21819 21304 20001 27018 01202
UMAGF 30503 20720 1004/ 19065 1/012 22121 32113
UMAGF 31523 20720 ///// 1900/ 1/007 21222 33221
UCMEO 93001 20719 1520/ 20719 60524 80824 2531/ 252// 333// 41681
20719 60427 80654 39217 11520 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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