| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 09.07.12 00:01l 158 Lines 8434 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 87MOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120708/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 8 Jul 2012 22:00:49 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.52
X-asg-debug-id: 1341784528-03b3480d813c6e0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 08 Jul 2012 22:01:53.0968 (UTC) FILETIME=[48DD5300:01CD5D55]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.52 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO, HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.168
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.102141Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO Envelope rcpt doesn't match header0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BOD
Y: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Message text disguised using base64 encoding
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1341784528
----boundary_506248_fb8b2673-6243-4a42-aedc-5af229279667
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Jul 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was high. Region 1515 (S17W76) produced
an M6/1n at 08/1632Z along with a 640 sfu Tenflare, Type II (est.
speed 2271 km/s) and Type IV radio sweeps. An associated CME became
visible in LASCO C2 imagery at 08/1648Z. The majority of the ejecta
appears to be directed southwest but further analysis will be
conducted as imagery becomes available. Region 1520 (S15E42)
continued to grow to 1070 millionths and is considered an Fhc-type
group with a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. The region produced
an M1/Sf at 08/0953Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a chance for X-class events for the next three days
(09-11 July).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours. The proton event that began at 07/0400Z and peaked at 07/0745
(25 pfu), ended at 07/2110Z. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was
enhanced but below threshold at the time of this report.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day one (09 July). Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected on day two (10 July), with a chance for
isolated active periods due to possible weak effects from the CME
observed on 06 July. A return to mostly quiet conditions is expected
for day three (11 July).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
Class M 80/80/80
Class X 25/25/25
Proton 50/10/10
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Jul 178
Predicted 09 Jul-11 Jul 165/155/150
90 Day Mean 08 Jul 124
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul 008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul 012/010-013/015-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/10
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 25/30/20
Major-severe storm 25/25/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_506248_fb8b2673-6243-4a42-aedc-5af229279667
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_506248_fb8b2673-6243-4a42-aedc-5af229279667--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
