| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.07.12 00:01l 153 Lines 8182 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 57MOK0NAG00J
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120705/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 5 Jul 2012 22:01:07 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.52
X-asg-debug-id: 1341525364-03b3480d8118200001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 05 Jul 2012 22:02:08.0625 (UTC) FILETIME=[D25C8E10:01CD5AF9]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.52 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO, HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.168
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.101853Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO Envelope rcpt doesn't match header0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BOD
Y: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Message text disguised using base64 encoding
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1341525364
----boundary_383624_f9a70d4f-c352-4062-a1a7-74a9967d6b56
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Jul 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was high. Region 1515 (S17W36) produced
an M6/1b at 05/1144Z along with several low-level M-class flares.
The region continued to grow slightly in areal coverage and
maintained a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Region 1513
(N15W52) grew as well but did not produce any further M-class
activity since yesterday's report.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a chance for X-class flares for the next three days
(06-08 July).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period due to residual effects from a coronal hole high speed stream
(CH HSS). Solar wind speed decreased throughout the period to
approximately 475 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on days one and two (06-07 July) as
effects from the CH HSS subside. Unsettled to active conditions are
likely on day three (08 July), with a chance for isolated minor
storm periods, due to effects from the CME associated with the M1/2n
flare observed at 04/1639Z from Region 1513.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
Class M 80/80/80
Class X 25/25/25
Proton 10/10/10
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jul 165
Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 165/165/160
90 Day Mean 05 Jul 121
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 011/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 009/013
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 009/008-007/012-017/022
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/25/45
Minor storm 05/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor storm 15/30/30
Major-severe storm 10/30/55
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_383624_f9a70d4f-c352-4062-a1a7-74a9967d6b56
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_383624_f9a70d4f-c352-4062-a1a7-74a9967d6b56--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
