| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.06.12 00:01l 143 Lines 7591 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : F6MOK0NAG00F
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120615/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 15 Jun 2012 22:01:06 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.52
X-asg-debug-id: 1339797370-03b3480d9a264f10001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 15 Jun 2012 22:01:45.0265 (UTC) FILETIME=[742D1A10:01CD4B42]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.52 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO, HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.168
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.99957Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO Envelope rcpt doesn't match header0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY
: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Message text disguised using base64 encoding
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1339797370
----boundary_291503_8d6f6a86-d93d-4457-a12a-680e5b22e347
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Jun 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jun 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity decreased to low levels. Region 1504
(S16W12) produced several C-class flares, the largest of which was a
C3/Sf flare at 1324Z. Although the magnetic configuration has
simplified from a delta to a beta-gamma, the area of the region has
increased. The remaining regions were relatively stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Isolated M-class flares are likely for the next three
days (16 June-18 June), primarily from Region 1504.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet until late on day 1 (16 June) to early
on day 2 (17 June). Activity is then expected to increase to active
levels with a chance for minor storm levels due to the combined
effects from both the 13 and 14 June CMEs. On day 3 (18 June)
conditions are expected to return to quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Event Probabilities 16 Jun-18 Jun
Class M 65/65/65
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 20/20/20
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Jun 145
Predicted 16 Jun-18 Jun 145/145/145
90 Day Mean 15 Jun 118
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jun 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jun 002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun 008/015-017/022-009/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jun-18 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/25
Minor storm 10/20/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/15
Minor storm 25/20/20
Major-severe storm 40/50/30
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_291503_8d6f6a86-d93d-4457-a12a-680e5b22e347
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_291503_8d6f6a86-d93d-4457-a12a-680e5b22e347--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
