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OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.06.12 14:24l 136 Lines 5228 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jun 08 1222 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU160
UGEOA 30512 20608 1053/ 9930/
11082 21082 30082
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 08 Jun 2012 until 10 Jun
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 129 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 131 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 133 / AP: 019
COMMENT: Thirteen C-class flares were detected during the past 24
hours. NOAA AR 1499 (Catania sunspot groups 64 and 74) produced the
strongest of them, the C9.1 flare peaking at 15:43 UT on June 7. The
C7.7 flare peaking at 03:07 UT today, from the Catania sunspot group 63
(NOAA AR 1494) was accompanied with the coronal dimming and southward
directed CME first observed in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 04:17
UT. We expect more flaring activity at the C-class level, in particular
from the NOAA AR 1499, and possibly also M-class flares. The influence
of the fast speed stream, due to recurrent coronal hole is ceasing. The
solar wind speed is about 580 km/s and slowly decreasing, and the
interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 5 nT. The last interval
of the elevated value of local K index Dourbes (K=4) was reported on
late June 6. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the following
hours and possibly active conditions on June 10 due to the arrival of
the CME-driven shock wave associated with the partial-halo CME from June
6.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 076, BASED ON 14 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20608 1053/ 07///
10201 21280 3010/ 4//// 80110 90670
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20608 1053/ 08/08 08110
10062 2//// 3//// 472// 50080 60002 44115 02000
10063 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50150 60010 32416 02000
10064 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50050 60016 41915 16100
10065 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60010 35020 02000
10070 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 43312 01000
10071 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60013 41607 01000
10072 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 30516 00000
10074 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50040 60013 40816 03000
10075 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 46726 00000
10076 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 25233 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 06148 14342 22002 40416 3/801 18013 41214 24511 29000
44909 0/102 31003 37914 0/102 21023 32622 51407 19016 30118 21308
25000 21817 0/101 23002 10706 31307 24002 11115 01214
USSPS 21305 07144 14242 28001 45526 0/104 18013 43613 24316 22002
41616 2/802 23001 40603 11306 24003 10214 34323 21012 33923 47413
19016 31218 21408
USSPS 81202 07075 10222 29009 10116 24407 22012 30918 31405 24017
33421 31405 33001 45411 0/101 21010 42315 34509 26002 41215 1/801
25005 40106 31404
USSPS 31405 08086 17442 62008 44115 2/902 63015 32416 21310 64005
41915 24616 65008 35020 24410 70002 43312 01206 71004 41607 21313
72001 30516 0/101 74004 40816 01213 75001 46726 0/102 76001 25233
0/101
UMAGF 30503 20608 1004/ 07060 1/014 22122 33222
UMAGF 31523 20608 ///// 0700/ 1/010 22222 33332
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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