| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.06.12 00:03l 154 Lines 8266 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 56MOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120605/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 5 Jun 2012 22:01:01 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.52
X-asg-debug-id: 1338933380-03b3480d9a185c50001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 05 Jun 2012 22:01:29.0468 (UTC) FILETIME=[C2A12BC0:01CD4366]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.52 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO, HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.168
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.99050Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 BSF_SC0_MISMATCH_TO Envelope rcpt doesn't match header0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY
: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Message text disguised using base64 encoding
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1338933380
----boundary_29664_edf5f2f4-74c0-4c4a-9451-3921666f4528
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Jun 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 157 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jun 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Region
1499 (N15E17) produced the largest x-ray event of the period with a
C4/2f at 05/2059Z. New Region 1503 (N11W38) was numbered today and
is considered a Bxo-beta type spot group. No Earth-directed CME's
were observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an isolated M-class event for the next
three days (06-08 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active during the past 24
hours due to continued effects from a favorably positioned coronal
hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Solar wind speeds increased from
approximately 650 km/s to 750 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic
field (IMF) Bt remained stable at about 8 nT. The Bz component of
the IMF varied between +6 and -7 nT but held steady at approximately
-5 nT for the last 2 hours of the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with active periods likely on day one (06
June) due to continued effects from the CH HSS. Quiet to unsettled
conditions, with a chance for isolated active periods, are expected
on days two and three (07-08 June) as the CH HSS effects subside.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jun-08 Jun
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jun 139
Predicted 06 Jun-08 Jun 140/140/140
90 Day Mean 05 Jun 117
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jun 014/018
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jun 014/018
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jun-08 Jun 014/018-011/015-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jun-08 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/30/20
Minor storm 20/10/10
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 30/25/25
Major-severe storm 55/40/30
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_29664_edf5f2f4-74c0-4c4a-9451-3921666f4528
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFu
c2l0aW9uYWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRl
bnQtVHlwZSBjb250ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+
PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9w
aHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3VlZDogMjAxMiBKdW4gMDUgMjIwMCBVVEMN
CiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5TLiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJj
ZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9uIENlbnRlciBhbmQg
dGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJlcG9ydCBv
ZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMTU3
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAwNSBKdW4gMjAxMg0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBv
ZiBTb2xhciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMDQvMjEw
MFoNCnRvIDA1LzIxMDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGxvdyBkdXJpbmcg
dGhlIHBhc3QgMjQgaG91cnMuIFJlZ2lvbg0KMTQ5OSAoTjE1RTE3KSBwcm9kdWNl
ZCB0aGUgbGFyZ2VzdCB4LXJheSBldmVudCBvZiB0aGUgcGVyaW9kIHdpdGggYQ0K
QzQvMmYgYXQgMDUvMjA1OVouIE5ldyBSZWdpb24gMTUwMyAoTjExVzM4KSB3YXMg
bnVtYmVyZWQgdG9kYXkgYW5kDQppcyBjb25zaWRlcmVkIGEgQnhvLWJldGEgdHlw
ZSBzcG90IGdyb3VwLiBObyBFYXJ0aC1kaXJlY3RlZCBDTUUmIzM5O3MNCndlcmUg
b2JzZXJ2ZWQgZHVyaW5nIHRoZSBwZXJpb2QuDQpJQi4gIFNvbGFyIEFjdGl2aXR5
IEZvcmVjYXN0OiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgaXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgbG93
DQp3aXRoIGEgc2xpZ2h0IGNoYW5jZSBmb3IgYW4gaXNvbGF0ZWQgTS1jbGFzcyBl
dmVudCBmb3IgdGhlIG5leHQNCnRocmVlIGRheXMgKDA2LTA4IEp1bmUpLg0KSUlB
LiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgU3VtbWFyeSAwNC8yMTAwWiB0byAwNS8y
MTAwWjoNClRoZSBnZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCBoYXMgYmVlbiB1bnNldHRsZWQg
dG8gYWN0aXZlIGR1cmluZyB0aGUgcGFzdCAyNA0KaG91cnMgZHVlIHRvIGNvbnRp
bnVlZCBlZmZlY3RzIGZyb20gYSBmYXZvcmFibHkgcG9zaXRpb25lZCBjb3JvbmFs
DQpob2xlIGhpZ2ggc3BlZWQgc3RyZWFtIChDSCBIU1MpLiBTb2xhciB3aW5kIHNw
ZWVkcyBpbmNyZWFzZWQgZnJvbQ0KYXBwcm94aW1hdGVseSA2NTAga20vcyB0byA3
NTAga20vcyBhbmQgdGhlIGludGVycGxhbmV0YXJ5IG1hZ25ldGljDQpmaWVsZCAo
SU1GKSBCdCByZW1haW5lZCBzdGFibGUgYXQgYWJvdXQgOCBuVC4gVGhlIEJ6IGNv
bXBvbmVudCBvZg0KdGhlIElNRiB2YXJpZWQgYmV0d2VlbiArNiBhbmQgLTcgblQg
YnV0IGhlbGQgc3RlYWR5IGF0IGFwcHJveGltYXRlbHkNCi01IG5UIGZvciB0aGUg
bGFzdCAyIGhvdXJzIG9mIHRoZSBwZXJpb2QuDQpJSUIuICBHZW9waHlzaWNhbCBB
Y3Rpdml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFRoZSBnZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCBpcw0KZXhw
ZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgdW5zZXR0bGVkIHdpdGggYWN0aXZlIHBlcmlvZHMgbGlrZWx5
IG9uIGRheSBvbmUgKDA2DQpKdW5lKSBkdWUgdG8gY29udGludWVkIGVmZmVjdHMg
ZnJvbSB0aGUgQ0ggSFNTLiBRdWlldCB0byB1bnNldHRsZWQNCmNvbmRpdGlvbnMs
IHdpdGggYSBjaGFuY2UgZm9yIGlzb2xhdGVkIGFjdGl2ZSBwZXJpb2RzLCBhcmUg
ZXhwZWN0ZWQNCm9uIGRheXMgdHdvIGFuZCB0aHJlZSAoMDctMDggSnVuZSkgYXMg
dGhlIENIIEhTUyBlZmZlY3RzIHN1YnNpZGUuDQpJSUkuICBFdmVudCBQcm9iYWJp
bGl0aWVzIDA2IEp1bi0wOCBKdW4NCkNsYXNzIE0gICAgMTUvMTUvMTUNCkNsYXNz
IFggICAgMDEvMDEvMDENClByb3RvbiAgICAgMDEvMDEvMDENClBDQUYgICAgICAg
Z3JlZW4NCklWLiAgUGVudGljdG9uIDEwLjcgY20gRmx1eA0KT2JzZXJ2ZWQgICAg
ICAgICAgIDA1IEp1biAxMzkNClByZWRpY3RlZCAgIDA2IEp1bi0wOCBKdW4gIDE0
MC8xNDAvMTQwDQo5MCBEYXkgTWVhbiAgICAgICAgMDUgSnVuIDExNw0KVi4gIEdl
b21hZ25ldGljIEEgSW5kaWNlcw0KT2JzZXJ2ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDA0IEp1biAgMDE0
LzAxOA0KRXN0aW1hdGVkIEFmci9BcCAwNSBKdW4gIDAxNC8wMTgNClByZWRpY3Rl
ZCBBZnIvQXAgMDYgSnVuLTA4IEp1biAgMDE0LzAxOC0wMTEvMDE1LTAwNy8wMDgN
ClZJLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQWN0aXZpdHkgUHJvYmFiaWxpdGllcyAwNiBKdW4t
MDggSnVuDQpBLiAgTWlkZGxlIExhdGl0dWRlcw0KQWN0aXZlICAgICAgICAgICAg
ICAgIDQwLzMwLzIwDQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAgICAgMjAvMTAvMTANCk1h
am9yLXNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAwNS8wMS8wMQ0KQi4gIEhpZ2ggTGF0aXR1ZGVz
DQpBY3RpdmUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgMTAvMTUvMTUNCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAg
ICAgICAgICAzMC8yNS8yNQ0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDU1LzQwLzMw
DQo8L1BSRT48QlI+PEhSPlRoYW5rIHlvdSBmb3IgdXNpbmcgdGhlIFByb2R1Y3Qg
U3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIFNlcnZpY2UuIElmIHlvdSB3b3VsZCBsaWtlIHRvIHJlbW92
ZSBhIHByb2R1Y3Qgc3Vic2NyaXB0aW9uIG9yIHVwZGF0ZSB0aGUgcGVyc29uYWwg
aW5mb3JtYXRpb24gaW4geW91ciBhY2NvdW50LCBnbyB0byB0aGUgPGEgaHJlZj0i
aHR0cHM6Ly9wc3Muc3dwYy5ub2FhLmdvdiI+UHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3JpcHRpb24g
U2l0ZS48L2E+IFBsZWFzZSBkbyBub3QgdXNlIHRoZSBmcm9tIGFkZHJlc3MgZm9y
IGNvcnJlc3BvbmRlbmNlLCBhcyBpdCBpcyBub3QgbW9uaXRvcmVkLiBGb3IgY29t
bWVudHMgb3IgaGVscCwgcGxlYXNlIGNvbnRhY3QgPGEgaHJlZj0ibWFpbHRvOnBz
cy5oZWxwQG5vYWEuZ292Ij5TV1BDIEhlbHAuPC9hPjwvQk9EWT48L0hUTUw+
----boundary_29664_edf5f2f4-74c0-4c4a-9451-3921666f4528--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
