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OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.06.12 14:23l 136 Lines 5399 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jun 02 1218 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU154
UGEOA 30512 20602 0910/ 9930/
11022 21022 30022
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 02 Jun 2012 until 04 Jun
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 134 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 137 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jun 2012 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 032
COMMENT: Five C flares occurred in the past 24 hours. The brightest one
was a C3.3 flare produced by AR 11488 on the west limb, which peaked at
22:41 UT on June 1, and was accompanied by a post-eruptive arcade and a
type II radio burst with estimated speed of 936 km/s. The C3.3 flare was
also accompanied by a bright CME first detected by LASCO C2 at 23:12 UT.
This CME is not expected to be geo-effective. More C flares are
expected, especially from NOAA AR 11493, 11496, 11488 and 11497, with a
chance for an isolated M-flare.
The Earth currently resides within a low speed solar wind stream with
velocity around 350 km/s, with the IMF varying between 5 and 10 nT. The
geomagnetic field was at quiet levels (Dourbes K between 1 and 3; NOAA
Kp between 1 and 2) during the past 24 hours. Quiet levels (K Dourbes <
4) are expected for June 2 and 3. Active geomagnetic levels with a
chance of minor storm intervals are predicted for June 4, due to the
arrival of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 106, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20602 0910/ 01///
10158 21290 3009/ 4//// 80310 90390
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20602 0910/ 01/08 02110
10054 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60008 33812 01000
10056 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60011 30912 01000
10057 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 31711 00000
10061 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60009 21412 01000
10062 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60007 15815 04100
10063 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60003 26915 02000
10064 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60005 17017 16100
10065 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60007 24321 04100
10066 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 27817 00000
10067 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60002 18109 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 31061 08232 12009 32613 21407 14006 20213 21510 16000
20823 0/101 17006 17716 21402 18005 28016 2/801 19000 22911 0/101
USSPS 21305 31147 09332 14008 32914 24406 16010 30313 34412 20003
22614 11305 18017 17115 11306 19005 27916 0/101 21002 25423 0/103
USSPS 32404 01062 11132 12003 34012 21403 14004 31313 21508 17110
15913 21404 18009 27217 21302 19005 21615 21405 20003 24522 24305
21005 18008 21302 22005 17015 2/802
USSPS 21305 01165 11742 14008 34614 31304 16004 31813 21303 20002
21215 01205 21006 23923 21404 19008 26517 21303 18017 15414 51408
22011 16515 31307 23008 17608 01203
USSPS 81202 01011 15142 17015 33513 31411 19008 30813 34522 23006
22014 04217 24003 24722 01206 22014 27016 2/801 21015 16414 21405
26012 17316 21305 25012 18307 21304
USSPS 81202 02020 15332 21013 14816 21406 26015 16116 21507 25006
16708 31303 22004 20714 21306 24006 23321 21405 23018 26015 04207
27001 30619 0/101 19003 31913 21303 28001 32712 0/101 20002 35726
0/101 17008 35213 21303
UMAGF 30503 20602 1004/ 01069 1/014 21223 32212
UMAGF 31523 20602 ///// 0100/ 1/009 21213 33322
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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