| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.05.12 00:02l 271 Lines 9136 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : M5MOK0NAG00G
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120522/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 22 May 2012 22:01:24 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1337723818-03b3480d9a06b90001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 22 May 2012 22:01:38.0406 (UTC) FILETIME=[762C8060:01CD3866]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.167
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.97563Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1337723818
----boundary_180219_17709f47-1d39-4c8a-be88-9c3a95d1377c
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 May 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 143 Issued at 2200Z on 22 May 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1484 (N10W43) had
slight growth in its intermediate spots. Region 1482 (N14W71) had
slight decay in its trailing spots. New Region 1488 (N12E55) was
numbered today. At approximately 22/0205Z, a filament eruption was
observed in the SW quadrant near center disk. STEREO B COR 2
imagery showed a faint CME that appeared to be slightly south of the
ecliptic beginning at 22/0609Z. Further analysis is on-going to
determine the geoeffectiveness of this CME.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for an M-class flare for the
forecast period (23 - 25 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Early on 22 May, solar
wind speed at the ACE spacecraft increased from approximately 360
km/s to 420 km/s. Temperature and total magnetic field also
displayed a slight increase as a coronal hole high speed stream
moved into geoeffective position. The geomagnetic field responded
with active periods during the intervals 22/0300 - 0600Z and
22/1800 - 2100Z. Minor storm intervals were observed at high
latitudes from 22/1200 - 1800Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a continued chance for active
periods on day 1 (23 May) due to coronal hole high speed stream (CH
HSS) effects. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on day 2
(24 May) as the CH HSS effects wane. Mostly quiet conditions are
expected on day 3 (25 May).
III. Event Probabilities 23 May-25 May
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 May 121
Predicted 23 May-25 May 120/120/115
90 Day Mean 22 May 116
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 May 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 May 015/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 May-25 May 013/014-007/008-004/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 May-25 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/10/05
Minor storm 15/01/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/15/10
Minor storm 20/05/05
Major-severe storm 15/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_180219_17709f47-1d39-4c8a-be88-9c3a95d1377c
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_180219_17709f47-1d39-4c8a-be88-9c3a95d1377c--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
