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OK0NAG > SOLAR    18.05.12 14:49l 118 Lines 4515 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 May 18 1246 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU139
UGEOA 30512 20518 1237/ 9930/
11182 20182 30182
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 May 2012 until 20 May 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 136 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 134 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has been low, only a C3.6 flare was detected
peaking at 08:23 UT from NOAA AR 1476, which is over the west limb now.

NOAA ARs 1482 and 1484 are expected to produce C-class flares and
possible small M-class flares. An eruption was seen originating in NOAA

AR 1482 around 05:00 UT, the CME is seen by COR2-A with a speed of
500km/s. It is too early to say if it will affect the Earth, but due to

the central position of this AR there is a potential danger that it
could arrive to the Earth on May 22 (no clear LASCO data yet).
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 076, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20518 1237/ 17///
1//// 21361 3005/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 20518 1237/ 18/08 18106
10029 2//// 3//// 471// 50010 60001 34722 00000
10031 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 33822 00000
10035 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50080 60004 41714 00000
10036 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50240 60012 40915 04100
10039 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50180 60013 12112 15100
10043 2//// 3//// 474// 50040 60002 17517 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 17102 10122 96006 48515 2/801 97001 33819 1/801 00004 
40415 2/801 01007 32921 2/801 03017 10515 31410 04030 13309 34415 
06001 24521 01202 
USSPS 21305 17201 11532 09007 18417 41302 05020 12711 51417 01005 
33223 5/801 97001 34322 0/101 96006 47513 01204 02005 41015 51303 
07017 40115 51417 
USSPS 81202 18010 13632 08018 12510 21419 12015 17814 41302 10001 
22624 0/102 13001 24120 0/103 05008 33523 2/801 03003 34521 2/801 
07016 40315 54424 04007 41215 21304 
USSPS 31405 18088 09322 29001 34722 1/901 31004 33822 2/901 35008 
41714 21304 36024 40915 24412 39018 12112 25413 43004 17517 4/802 
UMAGF 30503 20518 1004/ 17061 1/010 21111 31132 
UMAGF 31523 20518 ///// 1700/ 1/005 22111 32221 
UCMEO 93001 20517 1800/ 20517 60148 80530 1701/ 011// 333// 31618 
20517 60127 80239 47611 11476 1112/ 99999 PLAIN 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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