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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.05.12 14:51l 110 Lines 4158 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 May 15 1247 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU136
UGEOA 30512 20515 1230/ 9930/
11152 20152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 May 2012 until 17 May
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 129 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 128 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1476 has decayed into a beta-gamma configuration and
keeps producing C-class flares, it has still potential for more powerful
events. The strongest flare was a C3.2 peaking at 16:15 UT on May 14.
NOAA AR 1483 produced small C flares also, it has a beta magnetic
configuration. More C-class flares are expected. Geomagnetic conditions
are quiet. There are indications of an ongoing glancing blow with a ICME
(from May 12) on ACE data, but the magnetic field is not strong enough
at the moment (< 10nT) to cause disturbances, this may change in the
coming hours but no major geomagnetic disturbance is expected.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 081, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20515 1230/ 14///
1//// 21300 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20515 1230/ 11/08 15106
10025 2//// 3//// 4652/ 50990 60069 10412 18300
10029 2//// 3//// 472// 50050 60002 23921 00000
10031 2//// 3//// 472// 50050 60001 24823 00000
10033 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 30214 00000
10034 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 21812 00000
10035 2//// 3//// 472// 50030 60001 17316 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 14172 11132 96023 44010 51618 97001 30222 2/801 01006
20623 2/801 06002 24227 01205 04003 25211 2/801 05003 16910 01202
07003 13813 2/802 02002 13113 2/801
USSPS 81202 15015 11532 04007 12614 0/101 07008 13414 21404 08009
16510 31407 06003 24711 0/101 09002 23826 0/201 05008 20324 0/101
03004 30623 0/101 02034 44210 44619
UMAGF 30503 20515 1004/ 14060 1/009 21211 31122
UMAGF 31523 20515 ///// 1400/ 1/004 23100 31112
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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