| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.05.12 00:03l 234 Lines 7839 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 95MOK0NAG00J
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG
Sent: 120509/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 9 May 2012 22:03:13 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1336600686-03b34842c2da410001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 09 May 2012 22:03:13.0234 (UTC) FILETIME=[87535B20:01CD2E2F]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.157
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.96482Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1336600686
----boundary_552186_cf72d0de-9e8f-4b68-a789-83892d23861f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 May 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 130 Issued at 2200Z on 09 May 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1476 (N10E22) continues to be the most complex and
most active spot region on the visible disk. It produced an M4/1n
x-ray flare at 09/1232Z, and an M1/1b x-ray flare at 09/1408Z. This
spot region continues to grow in area, reaching 1050 Millionths and
remains a Fkc/beta-gamma-delta configuration.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels for the next three days (10-12 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to active levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a slight chance for minor
storming on day one (10 May) due to increased wind speeds associated
with the Coronal Hole High Speed Stream (CH HSS). Days two and
three (11-12 May) are expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels as
the effects of the CH HSS begin to wane.
III. Event Probabilities 10 May-12 May
Class M 65/65/65
Class X 10/10/10
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 May 127
Predicted 10 May-12 May 130/130/130
90 Day Mean 09 May 113
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 May 008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 May 017/021
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 May-12 May 015/022-013/015-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 May-12 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/15/10
Minor storm 15/05/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 30/25/25
Major-severe storm 50/25/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_552186_cf72d0de-9e8f-4b68-a789-83892d23861f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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=----boundary_552186_cf72d0de-9e8f-4b68-a789-83892d23861f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
