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OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.05.12 14:19l 114 Lines 4403 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Fri, 4 May 2012 12:14:44 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 May 04 1212 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU125
UGEOA 30512 20504 1150/ 9930/
11042 20042 30042
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 04 May 2012 until 06 May
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 114 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 110 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be eruptive with C class flares
likely or possible from NOAA ARs 1469, 1470, 1471 and 1475. AR 1475
which appeared close to the east limb on May 3rd produced a couple of
weak C flares on that day, the first one (a C1.6, 14:32UT peak time)
being associated with a CME. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be
quiet for the next 48 hours. Current conditions are quiet to unsettled
as measured by the ACE spacecraft with Bz excursions within +/- 5 nT for
the last 24 hours; Bz being currently positive. This is probably due to
the crossing of the interplanetary current sheet.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 061, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20504 1150/ 03///
10099 21140 3010/ 4//// 80106 90460
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20504 1150/ 04/07 04107
10015 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 36720 00000
10016 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60009 35224 02000
10020 2//// 3//// 4542/ 50280 60009 20220 15100
10021 2//// 3//// 472// 50010 60001 14814 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 15207 03000
10023 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 30828 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60011 30714 15100
99999
USSPS 32404 03067 08432 87013 34223 21510 89029 21219 51306 91001
30328 11303 92006 35721 21303 93001 16415 0/101 94002 17205 1/801
USSPS 21305 03152 08332 94002 15914 0/101 95005 16804 1/801 89027
21122 51411 91002 30819 01203 88011 34128 31305 93004 36319 31302
USSPS 81202 04013 09722 00003 15315 0/101 01004 16207 2/801 96035
20120 44517 98002 30928 01202 95012 35025 21314 99006 36619 21302
USSPS 31405 04076 10832 15002 36720 21305 16006 35224 24409 20028
20220 44509 21001 14814 2/901 22002 15207 2/902 23001 30828 0/101
24006 30714 25411
UMAGF 30503 20504 1004/ 03065 1/012 22211 31321
UMAGF 31523 20504 ///// 0300/ 1/010 23222 32224
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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