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OK0NAG > SOLAR    03.05.12 14:39l 109 Lines 4130 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 May 03 1231 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU124
UGEOA 30512 20503 1211/ 9930/
11032 20032 30032
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 03 May 2012 until 05 May 
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 114 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 114 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 May 2012  10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar activity is likely to reach eruptive levels with C-class

flares possible from NOAA ARs, 1469, 1471, 1472 and 1473. There is a
risk for an isolated M flare from NOAA AR 1469. A filament eruption
occurred close to the north-west limb on May 2nd, a little bit before
11:00 UT. It was associated with a CME unlikely to be geoeffective.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet during the next 48

hours.


TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 069, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20503 1211/ 02///
10106 21160 3006/ 4//// 80306 90450
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 20503 1211/ 03/07 03106
10015 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60004 35221 03000
10016 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50080 60012 34023 16200
10019 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50040 60009 30226 15100
10020 2//// 3//// 4542/ 50280 60010 21520 15100
10021 2//// 3//// 471// 50010 60001 16516 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 471// 50020 60003 17207 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 02073 07832 86001 42513 1/802 87004 32823 21507 89037 
22922 41508 91003 21128 11406 92006 34321 21405 
USSPS 21305 02154 08732 94001 17114 0/101 89029 21919 51308 91009 
20028 11405 88005 33122 31307 93005 34621 31304 92001 43114 1/102 
USSPS 81202 03011 09022 00004 16616 0/101 01006 17406 2/801 96031 
21419 41309 98004 20128 21303 95010 33526 21310 99008 35021 21306 
USSPS 31405 03070 09942 15003 35221 21304 16008 34023 25512 19004 
30226 24509 20028 21520 45510 21001 16516 1/901 22002 17207 1/903 
UMAGF 30503 20503 1004/ 02060 1/010 21110 31321 
UMAGF 31523 20503 ///// 0200/ 1/006 23111 31113 
 
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