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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.04.12 14:46l 121 Lines 4411 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Apr 29 1243 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU120
UGEOA 30512 20429 1230/ 9930/
11292 20292 30292
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 29 Apr 2012 until 01 May
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 121 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 May 2012 10CM FLUX: 127 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity remains low. More C-flares are expected in the
coming days. Two new regions, turning over the east limb, were numbered
AR 1470 and 1471 by NOAA. They currently have a beta and alpha
configuration respectively. Several filament eruptions were observed on
April 28, starting with an eruption in the south-west at 10:45 UT. This
caused a slow CME which was not earth-directed. Another filament
eruption near NOAA AR 1467 (Catania 17) was the source of a CME observed
by SOHO/LASCO around 21:48 UT in the south-east. This CME did have an
earth-directed component. A first estimate of its speed lies around 350
km/s. We may receive a glancing blow from this CME on May 4.
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet. Unsettled conditions (k=3)
are possible tomorrow due to coronal hole effects.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 079, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20429 1230/ 28///
1//// 21210 3010/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20429 1230/ 27/07 29108
10002 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 38014 01000
10010 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50120 60010 34316 03000
10011 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60010 42812 15000
10013 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60008 41910 01000
10015 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 23525 01000
10016 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 23618 01000
10017 2//// 3//// 4412/ 50040 60007 14114 03000
10018 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 36723 02000
99999
USSPS 32404 28102 10132 84006 35918 31406 85004 44613 21404 86002
12812 14306 87006 22219 21408 88004 43511 21403 89012 27823 2/802
90002 26917 1/802
USSPS 21305 28144 10432 84006 36218 01207 85005 44712 31305 86003
12512 0/105 87002 43812 21302 88007 21919 31411 90004 26818 0/102
89008 27524 21302
UMAGF 30503 20429 1004/ 28069 1/014 21212 32322
UMAGF 31523 20429 ///// 2800/ 1/010 22113 31333
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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