| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.04.12 23:04l 266 Lines 8959 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : Q4MOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120426/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 26 Apr 2012 22:04:18 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1335477492-03b3482d69bd8c10001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 26 Apr 2012 22:04:03.0078 (UTC) FILETIME=[7DAA3260:01CD23F8]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.121
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.95257Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1335477492
----boundary_246974_b3954b0e-4eeb-4205-abf3-a5e6fa2d5d5d
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 117 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1460 (N15W93)
and Region 1465 (S18W39) both produced C1 x-ray events at 25/2242Z
and 26/1723Z respectively. Both had associated CMEs but neither are
expected to be geoeffective. Three consecutive CMEs appeared on
LASCO/C2 imagery at 26/0924Z, 26/1148Z, and 26/1638Z. All three
were around the west limb and are not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
low with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next three
days (27 - 29 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field started the period at minor storm levels, but
fell to quiet levels and remained mostly quiet for the remainder of
the period. This activity was attributed to Coronal Hole High Speed
Stream (CH HSS) effects. Solar wind speeds have steadily decreased
from approximately 730 km/s to approximately 560 km/s. The Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field has remained fairly
neutral with minor fluctuations between +3 and -5 nT. Overall, the
total field fluctuated between +2 and +8 nT. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout
the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active
periods for day one (27 April) as CH HSS effects begin to wane.
Days two and three (28 -29 April) are expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Apr-29 Apr
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Apr 119
Predicted 27 Apr-29 Apr 115/110/105
90 Day Mean 26 Apr 112
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Apr 018/031
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Apr 013/017
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Apr-29 Apr 007/010-004/005-004/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Apr-29 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 25/10/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_246974_b3954b0e-4eeb-4205-abf3-a5e6fa2d5d5d
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMiBBcHIgMjYgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMTE3
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAyNiBBcHIgMjAxMg0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMjUvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDI2LzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGF0IGxvdyBsZXZlbHMuICBSZWdpb24gMTQ2MCAo
TjE1VzkzKQ0KYW5kIFJlZ2lvbiAxNDY1IChTMThXMzkpIGJvdGggcHJvZHVjZWQgQzEgeC1y
YXkgZXZlbnRzIGF0IDI1LzIyNDJaDQphbmQgMjYvMTcyM1ogcmVzcGVjdGl2ZWx5LiAgQm90
aCBoYWQgYXNzb2NpYXRlZCBDTUVzIGJ1dCBuZWl0aGVyIGFyZQ0KZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUg
Z2VvZWZmZWN0aXZlLiAgVGhyZWUgY29uc2VjdXRpdmUgQ01FcyBhcHBlYXJlZCBvbg0KTEFT
Q08vQzIgaW1hZ2VyeSBhdCAyNi8wOTI0WiwgMjYvMTE0OFosIGFuZCAyNi8xNjM4Wi4gIEFs
bCB0aHJlZQ0Kd2VyZSBhcm91bmQgdGhlIHdlc3QgbGltYiBhbmQgYXJlIG5vdCBleHBlY3Rl
ZCB0byBiZSBnZW9lZmZlY3RpdmUuDQpJQi4gIFNvbGFyIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZvcmVjYXN0OiAg
U29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgaXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gcmVtYWluDQpsb3cgd2l0aCBhIHNsaWdo
dCBjaGFuY2UgZm9yIE0tY2xhc3MgYWN0aXZpdHkgZm9yIHRoZSBuZXh0IHRocmVlDQpkYXlz
ICgyNyAtIDI5IEFwcmlsKS4NCklJQS4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IFN1bW1hcnkg
MjUvMjEwMFogdG8gMjYvMjEwMFo6DQpUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgc3RhcnRlZCB0
aGUgcGVyaW9kIGF0IG1pbm9yIHN0b3JtIGxldmVscywgYnV0DQpmZWxsIHRvIHF1aWV0IGxl
dmVscyBhbmQgcmVtYWluZWQgbW9zdGx5IHF1aWV0IGZvciB0aGUgcmVtYWluZGVyIG9mDQp0
aGUgcGVyaW9kLiAgVGhpcyBhY3Rpdml0eSB3YXMgYXR0cmlidXRlZCB0byBDb3JvbmFsIEhv
bGUgSGlnaCBTcGVlZA0KU3RyZWFtIChDSCBIU1MpIGVmZmVjdHMuICBTb2xhciB3aW5kIHNw
ZWVkcyBoYXZlIHN0ZWFkaWx5IGRlY3JlYXNlZA0KZnJvbSBhcHByb3hpbWF0ZWx5IDczMCBr
bS9zIHRvIGFwcHJveGltYXRlbHkgNTYwIGttL3MuICBUaGUgQnoNCmNvbXBvbmVudCBvZiB0
aGUgaW50ZXJwbGFuZXRhcnkgbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgaGFzIHJlbWFpbmVkIGZhaXJseQ0K
bmV1dHJhbCB3aXRoIG1pbm9yIGZsdWN0dWF0aW9ucyBiZXR3ZWVuICszIGFuZCAtNSBuVC4g
IE92ZXJhbGwsIHRoZQ0KdG90YWwgZmllbGQgZmx1Y3R1YXRlZCBiZXR3ZWVuICsyIGFuZCAr
OCBuVC4gVGhlIGdyZWF0ZXIgdGhhbiAyIE1lVg0KZWxlY3Ryb24gZmx1eCBhdCBnZW9zeW5j
aHJvbm91cyBvcmJpdCB3YXMgYXQgaGlnaCBsZXZlbHMgdGhyb3VnaG91dA0KdGhlIHBlcmlv
ZC4NCklJQi4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZvcmVjYXN0OiAgVGhlIGdlb21hZ25l
dGljIGZpZWxkIGlzDQpleHBlY3RlZCB0byBiZSBhdCBxdWlldCB0byB1bnNldHRsZWQgbGV2
ZWxzIHdpdGggaXNvbGF0ZWQgYWN0aXZlDQpwZXJpb2RzIGZvciBkYXkgb25lICgyNyBBcHJp
bCkgYXMgQ0ggSFNTIGVmZmVjdHMgYmVnaW4gdG8gd2FuZS4gDQpEYXlzIHR3byBhbmQgdGhy
ZWUgKDI4IC0yOSBBcHJpbCkgYXJlIGV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJlIG1vc3RseSBxdWlldC4NCklJ
SS4gIEV2ZW50IFByb2JhYmlsaXRpZXMgMjcgQXByLTI5IEFwcg0KQ2xhc3MgTSAgICAxNS8x
NS8xNQ0KQ2xhc3MgWCAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUHJvdG9uICAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUENBRiAg
ICAgICBncmVlbg0KSVYuICBQZW50aWN0b24gMTAuNyBjbSBGbHV4DQpPYnNlcnZlZCAgICAg
ICAgICAgMjYgQXByIDExOQ0KUHJlZGljdGVkICAgMjcgQXByLTI5IEFwciAgMTE1LzExMC8x
MDUNCjkwIERheSBNZWFuICAgICAgICAyNiBBcHIgMTEyDQpWLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQSBJ
bmRpY2VzDQpPYnNlcnZlZCBBZnIvQXAgMjUgQXByICAwMTgvMDMxDQpFc3RpbWF0ZWQgQWZy
L0FwIDI2IEFwciAgMDEzLzAxNw0KUHJlZGljdGVkIEFmci9BcCAyNyBBcHItMjkgQXByICAw
MDcvMDEwLTAwNC8wMDUtMDA0LzAwNQ0KVkkuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBY3Rpdml0eSBQcm9i
YWJpbGl0aWVzIDI3IEFwci0yOSBBcHINCkEuICBNaWRkbGUgTGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUg
ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgMjAvMTAvMTANCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAgICAgICAgICAwNS8wMS8w
MQ0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpCLiAgSGlnaCBMYXRpdHVkZXMN
CkFjdGl2ZSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAxNS8xNS8xNQ0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAg
IDI1LzE1LzE1DQpNYWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMjUvMTAvMTANCjwvUFJFPjxCUj48
SFI+VGhhbmsgeW91IGZvciB1c2luZyB0aGUgUHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3JpcHRpb24gU2Vydmlj
ZS4gSWYgeW91IHdvdWxkIGxpa2UgdG8gcmVtb3ZlIGEgcHJvZHVjdCBzdWJzY3JpcHRpb24g
b3IgdXBkYXRlIHRoZSBwZXJzb25hbCBpbmZvcm1hdGlvbiBpbiB5b3VyIGFjY291bnQsIGdv
IHRvIHRoZSA8YSBocmVmPSJodHRwczovL3Bzcy5zd3BjLm5vYWEuZ292Ij5Qcm9kdWN0IFN1
YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTaXRlLjwvYT4gUGxlYXNlIGRvIG5vdCB1c2UgdGhlIGZyb20gYWRkcmVz
cyBmb3IgY29ycmVzcG9uZGVuY2UsIGFzIGl0IGlzIG5vdCBtb25pdG9yZWQuIEZvciBjb21t
ZW50cyBvciBoZWxwLCBwbGVhc2UgY29udGFjdCA8YSBocmVmPSJtYWlsdG86cHNzLmhlbHBA
bm9hYS5nb3YiPlNXUEMgSGVscC48L2E+PC9CT0RZPjwvSFRNTD4----boundary_246974_b3954b0e-4eeb-4205-abf3-a5e6fa2d5d5d--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
