| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 26.04.12 00:02l 280 Lines 9463 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : P4MOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120425/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 25 Apr 2012 22:02:23 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1335390961-03b3482d69bb5510001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 25 Apr 2012 22:02:07.0468 (UTC) FILETIME=[0E57C2C0:01CD232F]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.121
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.95161Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1335390961
----boundary_211847_4ea0e991-b762-4be6-bfed-2753dd21920c
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 116 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1459 (S16W65)
produced a C1 x-ray event at 25/0224Z while Region 1460 (N15W81)
produced a C3/Sf at 25/1215Z. Region 1465 (S17W26) indicated
consolidation in both its leader and trailer spots. The region
appeared to have lost its gamma and delta magnetic configuration,
but still maintained an east to west oriented inversion line. No
discernible changes were noted in the remaining regions. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next
three days (26 - 28 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm conditions
with an isolated high latitude severe storm period observed during
25/0600Z - 0900Z. This activity was due to coronal hole high speed
stream affects (CH HSS). Over the past 24 hours, solar wind
velocities gradually increased from about 600 km/s to near 800 km/s.
Total field strength (Bt) varied between 5 to 12 nT while the Bz
component of the interplanetary magnetic field remained mostly south
from -4 to -10 nT. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels with isolated minor storm
periods on day one (26 April) as the 23 April CME is expected to
become geoeffective. Quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active
periods are expected on day two (27 April) as effects of the CME
wane. By day three (28 April), mostly quiet conditions are expected.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Apr-28 Apr
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Apr 127
Predicted 26 Apr-28 Apr 125/120/120
90 Day Mean 25 Apr 112
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Apr 030/043
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Apr 018/022
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr 017/025-011/015-004/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Apr-28 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 50/25/10
Minor storm 20/10/01
Major-severe storm 10/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/30/10
Minor storm 30/15/01
Major-severe storm 15/10/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_211847_4ea0e991-b762-4be6-bfed-2753dd21920c
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMiBBcHIgMjUgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMTE2
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAyNSBBcHIgMjAxMg0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMjQvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDI1LzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGF0IGxvdyBsZXZlbHMuIFJlZ2lvbiAxNDU5IChT
MTZXNjUpDQpwcm9kdWNlZCBhIEMxIHgtcmF5IGV2ZW50IGF0IDI1LzAyMjRaIHdoaWxlIFJl
Z2lvbiAxNDYwIChOMTVXODEpDQpwcm9kdWNlZCBhIEMzL1NmIGF0IDI1LzEyMTVaLiBSZWdp
b24gMTQ2NSAoUzE3VzI2KSBpbmRpY2F0ZWQNCmNvbnNvbGlkYXRpb24gaW4gYm90aCBpdHMg
bGVhZGVyIGFuZCB0cmFpbGVyIHNwb3RzLiBUaGUgcmVnaW9uDQphcHBlYXJlZCB0byBoYXZl
IGxvc3QgaXRzIGdhbW1hIGFuZCBkZWx0YSBtYWduZXRpYyBjb25maWd1cmF0aW9uLA0KYnV0
IHN0aWxsIG1haW50YWluZWQgYW4gZWFzdCB0byB3ZXN0IG9yaWVudGVkIGludmVyc2lvbiBs
aW5lLiBObw0KZGlzY2VybmlibGUgY2hhbmdlcyB3ZXJlIG5vdGVkIGluIHRoZSByZW1haW5p
bmcgcmVnaW9ucy4gTm8NCkVhcnRoLWRpcmVjdGVkIENNRXMgd2VyZSBvYnNlcnZlZCBkdXJp
bmcgdGhlIHBlcmlvZC4NCklCLiAgU29sYXIgQWN0aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBTb2xhciBh
Y3Rpdml0eSBpcyBleHBlY3RlZCB0byByZW1haW4NCmF0IGxvdyBsZXZlbHMgd2l0aCBhIHNs
aWdodCBjaGFuY2UgZm9yIE0tY2xhc3MgYWN0aXZpdHkgZm9yIHRoZSBuZXh0DQp0aHJlZSBk
YXlzICgyNiAtIDI4IEFwcmlsKS4NCklJQS4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IFN1bW1h
cnkgMjQvMjEwMFogdG8gMjUvMjEwMFo6DQpUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgcmFuZ2Vk
IGZyb20gcXVpZXQgdG8gbWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gY29uZGl0aW9ucw0Kd2l0aCBhbiBpc29sYXRl
ZCBoaWdoIGxhdGl0dWRlIHNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSBwZXJpb2Qgb2JzZXJ2ZWQgZHVyaW5nDQoy
NS8wNjAwWiAtIDA5MDBaLiBUaGlzIGFjdGl2aXR5IHdhcyBkdWUgdG8gY29yb25hbCBob2xl
IGhpZ2ggc3BlZWQNCnN0cmVhbSBhZmZlY3RzIChDSCBIU1MpLiBPdmVyIHRoZSBwYXN0IDI0
IGhvdXJzLCBzb2xhciB3aW5kDQp2ZWxvY2l0aWVzIGdyYWR1YWxseSBpbmNyZWFzZWQgZnJv
bSBhYm91dCA2MDAga20vcyB0byBuZWFyIDgwMCBrbS9zLg0KVG90YWwgZmllbGQgc3RyZW5n
dGggKEJ0KSB2YXJpZWQgYmV0d2VlbiA1IHRvIDEyIG5UIHdoaWxlIHRoZSBCeg0KY29tcG9u
ZW50IG9mIHRoZSBpbnRlcnBsYW5ldGFyeSBtYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCByZW1haW5lZCBtb3N0
bHkgc291dGgNCmZyb20gLTQgdG8gLTEwIG5ULiBUaGUgZ3JlYXRlciB0aGFuIDIgTWVWIGVs
ZWN0cm9uIGZsdXggYXQNCmdlb3N5bmNocm9ub3VzIG9yYml0IHJlYWNoZWQgaGlnaCBsZXZl
bHMgZHVyaW5nIHRoZSBwZXJpb2QuDQpJSUIuICBHZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eSBGb3Jl
Y2FzdDogIFRoZSBnZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCBpcw0KZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgYXQgcXVp
ZXQgdG8gYWN0aXZlIGxldmVscyB3aXRoIGlzb2xhdGVkIG1pbm9yIHN0b3JtDQpwZXJpb2Rz
IG9uIGRheSBvbmUgKDI2IEFwcmlsKSBhcyB0aGUgMjMgQXByaWwgQ01FIGlzIGV4cGVjdGVk
IHRvDQpiZWNvbWUgZ2VvZWZmZWN0aXZlLiBRdWlldCB0byB1bnNldHRsZWQgbGV2ZWxzIHdp
dGggaXNvbGF0ZWQgYWN0aXZlDQpwZXJpb2RzIGFyZSBleHBlY3RlZCBvbiBkYXkgdHdvICgy
NyBBcHJpbCkgYXMgZWZmZWN0cyBvZiB0aGUgQ01FDQp3YW5lLiBCeSBkYXkgdGhyZWUgKDI4
IEFwcmlsKSwgbW9zdGx5IHF1aWV0IGNvbmRpdGlvbnMgYXJlIGV4cGVjdGVkLg0KSUlJLiAg
RXZlbnQgUHJvYmFiaWxpdGllcyAyNiBBcHItMjggQXByDQpDbGFzcyBNICAgIDIwLzIwLzIw
DQpDbGFzcyBYICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpQcm90b24gICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpQQ0FGICAgICAg
IGdyZWVuDQpJVi4gIFBlbnRpY3RvbiAxMC43IGNtIEZsdXgNCk9ic2VydmVkICAgICAgICAg
ICAyNSBBcHIgMTI3DQpQcmVkaWN0ZWQgICAyNiBBcHItMjggQXByICAxMjUvMTIwLzEyMA0K
OTAgRGF5IE1lYW4gICAgICAgIDI1IEFwciAxMTINClYuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBIEluZGlj
ZXMNCk9ic2VydmVkIEFmci9BcCAyNCBBcHIgIDAzMC8wNDMNCkVzdGltYXRlZCBBZnIvQXAg
MjUgQXByICAwMTgvMDIyDQpQcmVkaWN0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDI2IEFwci0yOCBBcHIgIDAxNy8w
MjUtMDExLzAxNS0wMDQvMDA2DQpWSS4gIEdlb21hZ25ldGljIEFjdGl2aXR5IFByb2JhYmls
aXRpZXMgMjYgQXByLTI4IEFwcg0KQS4gIE1pZGRsZSBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAgICAg
ICAgICAgICAgICA1MC8yNS8xMA0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAgIDIwLzEwLzAxDQpN
YWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMTAvMDUvMDENCkIuICBIaWdoIExhdGl0dWRlcw0KQWN0
aXZlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIDQwLzMwLzEwDQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAgICAgMzAv
MTUvMDENCk1ham9yLXNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAxNS8xMC8wMQ0KPC9QUkU+PEJSPjxIUj5U
aGFuayB5b3UgZm9yIHVzaW5nIHRoZSBQcm9kdWN0IFN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTZXJ2aWNlLiBJ
ZiB5b3Ugd291bGQgbGlrZSB0byByZW1vdmUgYSBwcm9kdWN0IHN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBvciB1
cGRhdGUgdGhlIHBlcnNvbmFsIGluZm9ybWF0aW9uIGluIHlvdXIgYWNjb3VudCwgZ28gdG8g
dGhlIDxhIGhyZWY9Imh0dHBzOi8vcHNzLnN3cGMubm9hYS5nb3YiPlByb2R1Y3QgU3Vic2Ny
aXB0aW9uIFNpdGUuPC9hPiBQbGVhc2UgZG8gbm90IHVzZSB0aGUgZnJvbSBhZGRyZXNzIGZv
ciBjb3JyZXNwb25kZW5jZSwgYXMgaXQgaXMgbm90IG1vbml0b3JlZC4gRm9yIGNvbW1lbnRz
IG9yIGhlbHAsIHBsZWFzZSBjb250YWN0IDxhIGhyZWY9Im1haWx0bzpwc3MuaGVscEBub2Fh
LmdvdiI+U1dQQyBIZWxwLjwvYT48L0JPRFk+PC9IVE1MPg=----boundary_211847_4ea0e991-b762-4be6-bfed-2753dd21920c--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
