| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.04.12 23:03l 252 Lines 8387 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : M4MOK0NAG00M
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120422/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 22 Apr 2012 22:02:49 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1335131782-03b3482d696cc950001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 22 Apr 2012 22:02:30.0125 (UTC) FILETIME=[9C9BB1D0:01CD20D3]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.122
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.94894Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1335131782
----boundary_58665_267987f7-a298-4413-bb05-f6c6bb3cf710
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 113 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Occasional low-level C-class
flares occurred. Region 1459 (S15W25 - Dki/beta) produced a single
C-class flare and showed signs of gradual decay in its intermediate
portion. Region 1465 (S18E14 - Dai/beta) produced two C-class flares
and showed spot and penumbral development as well as some polarity
mixing in its intermediate portion. New Region 1466 (N12E29 -
Cso/beta) emerged early in the period and gradually grew. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
through the period (23 - 25 April) with a chance for an isolated
M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels with a
brief interval of active levels at high latitudes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during days 1 - 2 (23 -
24 April) with a chance for active levels due mainly to a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Weak CME-passage effects are also
possible on day 1 from the partial-halo CME observed on 19 April.
Field activity is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels on day
3 (25 April).
III. Event Probabilities 23 Apr-25 Apr
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Apr 148
Predicted 23 Apr-25 Apr 145/145/140
90 Day Mean 22 Apr 112
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Apr 006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Apr 008/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Apr-25 Apr 010/010-008/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Apr-25 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/25/15
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/30/20
Minor storm 10/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_58665_267987f7-a298-4413-bb05-f6c6bb3cf710
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_58665_267987f7-a298-4413-bb05-f6c6bb3cf710--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
