| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.04.12 00:01l 248 Lines 8227 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : J4MOK0NAG00I
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120419/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 19 Apr 2012 22:01:31 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1334872480-03b3482d692e9f40001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 19 Apr 2012 22:01:08.0953 (UTC) FILETIME=[ECFC9490:01CD1E77]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.123
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.94606Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1334872480
----boundary_1624_6f7918d4-f5a8-4cdc-ba69-2de41df70a69
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 110 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was low. The largest event of the period
was a C7 x-ray flare at 19/1126Z associated with Types II and IV
radio sweeps and a non-Earth-directed CME. This event may have
originated in old Region 1455 (N05, L=206), now about two days
beyond the west limb. Regions 1460 (N16W01) and 1463 (S26W49) each
produced a low-level C-class flare. Region 1460 showed spot growth
in its intermediate portion. Region 1462 (S24W31) produced a C1
flare at 19/1515Z associated with a CME that may have had an
Earthward component. Further analysis is required to determine if
the CME is likely to be geoeffective. New Region 1464 (N23E01,
Bxo-Beta) was numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
during days 1 - 3 (20 - 22 April) with a chance for an isolated
M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (20 April) with
a chance for brief active levels due to a recurrent solar sector
boundary crossing. Quiet levels are expected during days 2- 3 (21 -
22 April).
III. Event Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Apr 138
Predicted 20 Apr-22 Apr 135/135/135
90 Day Mean 19 Apr 112
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Apr 007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Apr 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr 007/008-004/005-003/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/15/15
Minor storm 15/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_1624_6f7918d4-f5a8-4cdc-ba69-2de41df70a69
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_1624_6f7918d4-f5a8-4cdc-ba69-2de41df70a69--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
