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OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.05.08 23:02l 73 Lines 2844 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Wed, 21 May 2008 22:01:40 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 May 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 142 Issued at 2200Z on 21 May 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled. An isolated active period
was observed at 21/0300 - 0600Z. Solar wind speed increased
gradually from approximately 450 km/s to values ranging between 550
- 620 km/s. The solar wind signatures were consistent with a high
speed stream from a coronal hole.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods
for the next three days (22 - 24 May) due to persistent effects from
the high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 22 May-24 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 May 069
Predicted 22 May-24 May 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 21 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 May 007/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 May 015/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 May-24 May 008/015-008/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 May-24 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/25/25
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/40/40
Minor storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
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your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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