|
OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.04.12 00:07l 238 Lines 7884 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 54MOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG
Sent: 120405/2206z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 5 Apr 2012 22:05:55 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1333663090-03b3480d7e728c0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 05 Apr 2012 22:05:47.0671 (UTC) FILETIME=[41551270:01CD1378]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.129
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.93297Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1333663090
----boundary_318310_4de53787-3a3e-478a-b621-0d856b20803f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Apr 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 096 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Apr 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels for the past 24 hours.
Region 1450 (N15W31) produced a B9 flare at 05/1327Z and a C3/1f
flare at 05/1624Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with C-class flares likely for the next three days (06-08 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past
24 hours with minor to severe storm periods at high latitudes. The
increased activity was associated with periods of sustained
southward IMF Bz and increased IMF Bt associated with intermittent
solar sector boundary changes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (6 April) due to the
weak CME that was associated with the filament eruption that
occurred on 02 April. The field is expected to return to quiet
levels on day two (7 April), then be at quiet to unsettled levels
due to a coronal hole high speed stream becoming geoeffective on day
three (8 April).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Apr-08 Apr
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Apr 101
Predicted 06 Apr-08 Apr 105/110/115
90 Day Mean 05 Apr 117
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Apr 006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Apr 010/013
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Apr-08 Apr 007/008-006/005-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Apr-08 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/20
Minor storm 25/15/25
Major-severe storm 10/05/15
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_318310_4de53787-3a3e-478a-b621-0d856b20803f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_318310_4de53787-3a3e-478a-b621-0d856b20803f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |