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OK0NAG > SOLAR 30.03.12 23:04l 218 Lines 7252 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Mar 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 090 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low for the past 24 hours.
Areas of plage and a few small spots have rotated onto the visible
disk near the area of old Region 1429, but this region isn't as
impressive as anticipated. There were two eruptive filaments from
the northern hemisphere, one at 29/1800Z and another at 30/1436Z
that were associated with CMEs, neither of which is expected to be
geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days.
III. Event Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Mar 111
Predicted 31 Mar-02 Apr 115/120/120
90 Day Mean 30 Mar 119
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Mar 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar-02 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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