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OK0NAG > SOLAR 30.03.12 14:30l 128 Lines 5018 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Mar 30 1224 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU090
UGEOA 30512 20330 1156/ 9930/
11302 21302 30302
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 30 Mar 2012 until 01 Apr
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 116 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Mar 2012 10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Apr 2012 10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 011
COMMENT: Solar activity has been at eruptive levels during the past 24
hours, with three C-flares, two of which originated in the X-flaring
NOAA AR 11429 which has returned to the East limb. Solar activity is
expected to stay at eruptive levels, with risks of C flares from NOAA AR
11429, 11442, 11438 and 11448. An isolated M flare is possible,
especially from AR 11429.
In the past 24 hours, solar wind speeds as observed by ACE decreased
from about 370 to about 320 km/s, and jumped from about 320 to a plateau
of about 390 km/s around 8h UT on March 30. The IMF has been near 5 nT
during this period. Geomagnetic activity has been quiet (Dourbes K
ranged from 0 to 3; NOAA Kp from 0 to 2) during the past 24 hours. There
is a slight chance for active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) on March 30,
due to the possible arrival of the CME from March 27 (03:12 UT). Quiet
levels are expected for March 31. A small coronal hole north of the
equator is now at the central meridian and could provoke active
geomagnetic conditions in the second part of April 1.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 070, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20330 1156/ 29///
10120 21120 3004/ 4//// 80108 90390
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20330 1156/ 30/08 30109
10077 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 35413 00000
10078 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60008 44312 04000
10079 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 43212 00000
10082 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 31022 00000
10083 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 20123 01000
10084 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60006 23817 01000
10086 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60004 31918 01000
10087 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 42707 00000
10088 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 20328 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 29068 09632 56003 34114 21305 59005 43012 21406 62023
20923 21606 64003 37125 21302 65002 25318 21302 66001 30719 21303
67001 41813 21302
USSPS 21305 29154 09632 66004 43814 11306 62001 42111 01202 58003
34814 11403 64017 20523 21506 67002 37424 0/101 68003 24818 11304
69003 31219 01204
USSPS 81202 30038 07322 67003 24117 21403 65001 20723 2/801 68004
30822 4/801 58002 35314 21302 69001 42608 21302 63004 44312 21404
USSPS 31405 30081 12332 77001 35413 0/101 78005 44312 24408 79001
43212 01203 82020 31022 2/902 83002 20123 01205 84002 23817 01206
86002 31918 11304 87001 42707 0/102 88001 20328 0/102
UMAGF 30503 20330 1004/ 29064 1/012 20021 32232
UMAGF 31523 20330 ///// 2900/ 1/004 20001 32123
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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