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OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.03.12 00:06l 212 Lines 7031 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Mar 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 086 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Mar 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels. Region 1442
(N12W01) produced a C1/Sf flare at 26/0642Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an M-class flare. Old Region 1429 (N19, L=295) is
expected to return late on day 2 (28 March), further increasing the
possibility of an M-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on 27 March, increasing to unsettled to
active conditions on 28 and 29 March due to a solar sector boundary
followed by a negative polarity coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
Class M 25/40/55
Class X 05/10/15
Proton 01/05/10
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Mar 102
Predicted 27 Mar-29 Mar 100/105/110
90 Day Mean 26 Mar 120
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Mar 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Mar 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar 006/005-013/015-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/35/25
Minor storm 01/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 15/30/35
Major-severe storm 05/45/30
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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