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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.05.08 22:59l 70 Lines 2688 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 17 May 2008 22:01:41 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 May 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 138 Issued at 2200Z on 17 May 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on the first day of the forecast period (18
May), becoming unsettled to active on day two as a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream becomes geoeffective. Conditions on day
three will continue to be unsettled to active, with a chance for
minor storms at high latitudes.
III. Event Probabilities 18 May-20 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 May 071
Predicted 18 May-20 May 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 17 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 May 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 May-20 May 005/005-010/012-015/030
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 May-20 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/20/30
Minor storm 05/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/25/45
Minor storm 05/15/25
Major-severe storm 01/01/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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