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OK0NAG > SOLAR 25.02.12 15:18l 111 Lines 4177 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Sat, 25 Feb 2012 13:15:11 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Feb 25 1311 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU056
UGEOA 30512 20225 1250/ 9930/
10252 20252 30252
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 25 Feb 2012 until 27 Feb
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 020
COMMENT: Solar flaring conditions are quiet and expected to remain
quiet for the next 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet
during the past 24 hours and are expected to remain quiet for the next
24 hours. The CME that erupted yesterday 24/2 around 4UT is expected to
become geoeffective in the course of Monday 27/2 between 6 and 16 UT.
The magnetic field is expexted to be oriented northward, we therefore
expect only active geomagnetic conditions (K=4). Another CME was
observed late on 24/2 around 20 UT. It is also related to a filament
eruption, this time in the south-east. This CME is not expected to have
big geomagnetic consequences since it is directed mostly southward and
since it is very slow (350 km/s). A glancing blow is however possible,
which may lead to unsetteled conditions late on 29/2.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 034, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20225 1250/ 24///
10075 21090 3006/ 4//// 80206 90240
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
USSPS 32404 24076 03622 30000 47512 0/101 34021 45515 21404 36012
16617 2/801
USSPS 21305 24158 06022 41009 16218 3/801 42003 17309 0/101 43001
21315 01203 38015 45817 31304 36003 44812 0/101
USSPS 81202 24123 03722 35003 46912 0/101 38018 45015 21405 39012
16818 2/801
USSPS 81202 25006 05022 39008 15518 3/801 40003 16608 11302 41003
30814 01204 38026 46313 41303
USSPS 31405 25085 05442 50007 46715 2/906 52004 15218 2/901 53001
20414 01204 55002 16308 21303
UMAGF 30503 20225 1004/ 24065 1/007 21221 31001
UMAGF 31523 20225 ///// 2400/ 1/006 22312 32210
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
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