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OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.02.12 15:08l 128 Lines 4432 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Feb 23 1302 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU054
UGEOA 30512 20223 1246/ 9930/
10232 20232 30232
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 23 Feb 2012 until 25 Feb
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 103 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar conditions are quiet and expected to remain quiet for
the next 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet during the
past 24 hours and are expected to remain quiet for the next 24 hours.
Two filament eruptions have been observed in the past 24 hours in the
northern hemisphere. Both are associated with a CME. The first CME is a
slow streamer blowout, and visible in LASCO C2 from about 19UT onwards
on 22/2. It is not geoeffective. Faint related activity can be observed
at the east limb of SWAP and AIA images during the 22nd. A second CME is
visible in STEREO COR2-A images around 9UT on 23/2 towards the east limb
of STEREO A, its speed is about 350 km/s. EUVI-A images indicate clear
on-disk activity (filament eruption, dimmings) associated with this CME.
This low-coronal activity is situated at the west limb as seen from
earth, in the form of post-eruptive loops. We await LASCO data to report
on the geoeffectiveness of this CME, but COR2-B data suggest it is not
straight directed at earth, however a glancing blow is possible. Since
this is a slow CME no major geomagnetic effects are expected in any case.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 039, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20223 1246/ 22///
1//// 21040 3010/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20223 1246/ 23/07 23104
10046 2//// 3//// 472// 50030 60002 45811 00000
10050 2//// 3//// 4452/ 50280 60020 44115 02000
10051 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60007 10214 00000
10052 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 18019 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 22158 03022 38024 43415 34409 36003 45311 2/801
USSPS 31405 23070 07052 46003 45811 2/902 50028 44115 54420 51002
10214 01207 52004 18019 2/901
UMAGF 30503 20223 1004/ 22061 1/011 23321 31000
UMAGF 31523 20223 ///// 2200/ 1/010 23333 32121
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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