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OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.02.12 15:07l 131 Lines 4831 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Feb 20 1302 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU051
UGEOA 30512 20220 1237/ 9930/
11202 20202 30202
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 20 Feb 2012 until 22 Feb
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar activity is situated in the northern hemisphere. A C1
flare erupted from NOAA 11421 (Cat 50) yesterday around 08h40 UT. This
flare was associated with a relatively narrow CME. Since the CME is
traveling above the ecliptic, we do not expect any geomagnetic
consequences from it. Next, a filament erupted at the west limb
yesterday around 17UT, leading to a westward CME. Again no geomagnetic
consequences are expected. Today, a C4.1 flare erupted from new Active
region NOAA 11421 (Cat 51), peaking at 05:09UT. Active region NOAA 11422
that appeared yesterday is evolving rapidly and is expected to produce
more C-flares. We therefore expect low to moderate solar conditions for
the next 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled to active
during the past night, due to the passage of a southern coronal hole. We
expect quiet geomagnetic conditions to return.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 047, BASED ON 14 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20220 1237/ 19///
1//// 21050 3020/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20220 1237/ 20/07 20106
10045 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 42128 00000
10046 2//// 3//// 472// 50050 60002 41911 00000
10048 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 44815 00000
10049 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 33715 00000
10050 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50230 60017 40215 03000
10051 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 14118 03000
99999
USSPS 32404 19090 07232 29002 40929 2/801 30008 40811 2/801 32000
37723 0/101 33000 15518 0/101 34004 11116 31406 35000 32516 0/102
USSPS 21305 19166 05632 38012 10716 21413 37001 15218 0/101 35001
41329 2/801 36004 41312 2/801
USSPS 81202 20023 05932 38020 10116 34412 37003 14518 11302 35006
41711 21302 34002 41829 21303
USSPS 31405 20071 08742 45001 42128 0/102 46005 41911 2/902 48001
44815 0/101 49001 33715 01202 50023 40215 24417 51001 14118 01203
UMAGF 30503 20220 1004/ 19067 1/027 21212 32435
UMAGF 31523 20220 ///// 1900/ 1/020 25522 32224
INDAA 20213
1/008 01202 50240 39039 02503 8/026
2/024 01602 50120 16033 03806 7/029
3/016 06702 50330 25025 04604 6/035
4/012 00200 80250 25008 00200 5/011
5/002 00200 80080 05002 00200 2/004
6/002 00200 20080 05008 01203 8/010
7/046 08101 20250 21025 01203 8/033
END
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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