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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.02.12 15:04l 114 Lines 4054 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Feb 10 1259 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU041
UGEOA 30512 20210 1237/ 9930/
11102 21102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Feb 2012 until 12 Feb
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Feb 2012 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity has been low, new NOAA AR 1416 (Catania 38) has
produced a series of B-class flares but is evolving fast and has
potential for more powerful events (up to the M level). There are two AR
rotating over the east limb which produced M-class flares during their
last transit. There was a filament erupting over the northeast limb at
21:00 UT that produced a CME which is not expected to be geoeffective,
although the Earth may encounter a possible associated ICME shock in 3
to 4 days. Geomagnetic activity has been quiet to unsettled, the fast
speed stream from a small coronal hole arrived but it was very weak and
didn't produce any noticeable effect yet. For the next 2 days, more
unsettled to active periods can be expected due to the arrival of fast
streams from weak coronal holes.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 036, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20210 1237/ 09///
10060 20990 3007/ 4//// 80304 90090
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20210 1237/ 09/08 10104
10036 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 46409 04000
10037 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 46212 04000
10038 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60013 23217 17200
10039 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 25722 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 09185 01732 33009 22915 34407
USSPS 81202 10010 05132 32003 17118 01202 31010 22317 24417 29003
47008 01202
UMAGF 30503 20210 1004/ 09061 1/010 20222 32111
UMAGF 31523 20210 ///// 0900/ 1/007 22102 32232
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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