| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.02.12 23:06l 251 Lines 8373 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 42MOK0NAG00O
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 120204/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 4 Feb 2012 22:03:38 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1328392929-03b3480d61213e70001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 04 Feb 2012 22:03:34.0388 (UTC) FILETIME=[D6B0F340:01CCE388]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.155
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.87616Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1328392929
----boundary_93468_4eb037ab-0419-4830-a6f0-f8aa75661742
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2012 Feb 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 035 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Feb 2012
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. A six degree
long filament eruption was visible in SDO/AIA 304 imagery, first
observed at about 03/2031Z. The filament was centered near N25W27,
just to the northeast of Region 1410 (N16W44). SOHO LASCO C2
imagery observed a slow-moving CME off the north limb of the disk,
first visible at 04/0836Z. At this time, the CME does not appear to
have an Earthward-directed component. New Region 1414 (S06W19)
emerged on the disk as a simple B-type beta group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-class activity for the next three days (05 -
07 February).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels at middle latitudes
while active to minor storm periods were observed at high latitudes.
ACE satellite observations indicated a steady increase in wind
velocities through the period from about 400 km/s to near 460 km/s.
The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field did not vary
much beyond +/- 5 nT for the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (05 -
07 February).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Feb 107
Predicted 05 Feb-07 Feb 105/105/105
90 Day Mean 04 Feb 140
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Feb 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Feb 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb 005/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_93468_4eb037ab-0419-4830-a6f0-f8aa75661742
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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=----boundary_93468_4eb037ab-0419-4830-a6f0-f8aa75661742--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
