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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.01.12 14:41l 118 Lines 4529 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 18 Jan 2012 12:38:46 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jan 18 1236 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU018
UGEOA 30512 20118 1224/ 9930/
11182 20182 30182
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 Jan 2012 until 20 Jan
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 139 / AP: 006
COMMENT: Catania sunspot groups 20 and 21 (NOAA ARs 1401 and 1402
respectively) have beta-gamma configuration of their photospheric
magnetic field. However, during the past 24 hours their configuration
somewhat stabilized, resulting only in five weak C-class flares. We
expect flaring activity at the C-level, with an M-class flare possible
but unlikely. Several large quiet Sun filaments are approaching the
solar central meridian. If any of them erupts, the resulting CME may be
directed at the Earth. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 400
km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic
field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 083, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20118 1224/ 17///
1//// 21390 3008/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20118 1224/ 18/08 18108
10011 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50030 60009 43626 00000
10016 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 22521 00000
10017 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 36121 00000
10018 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 30217 00000
10019 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 12018 00000
10020 2//// 3//// 4542/ 50450 60019 13317 18200
10021 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50390 60016 13529 17100
10022 2//// 3//// 472// 50030 60001 14813 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 17179 16532 10050 14628 51419 11051 14517 54520 14004
15812 3/801 08001 23523 01203 15001 20618 01208 16003 35322 11302
17001 38030 0/101 06001 46313 0/101 05002 42825 01209 18001 40310
0/101
USSPS 81202 18033 13922 12061 13829 54516 15005 15314 2/802 11045
13818 47523 20001 12418 0/101 10002 23022 0/101 19003 20220 11308
16003 35624 11302 06003 43322 01206
USSPS 31405 18086 14342 11003 43626 01209 16001 22521 01204 17001
36121 01204 18002 30217 01208 19001 12018 0/102 20045 13317 44519
21039 13529 45416 22003 14813 2/901
UMAGF 31523 20118 ///// 1700/ 1/008 23212 32132
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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