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OK0NAG > SOLAR 13.01.12 15:15l 129 Lines 4700 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Jan 13 1309 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU013
UGEOA 30512 20113 1255/ 9930/
11132 20132 30132
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 13 Jan 2012 until 15 Jan
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Jan 2012 10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 005
COMMENT: Solar flaring activity remains on quiet to C-flaring levels,
with a possibility for an M-flare in the coming days. AR NOAA 11393 (and
soon AR NOAA 11391) has already rotated of the west limb. NOAA AR 11396
is increasing in size and has capability of producing C-flares and
perhaps an M-flare. Two CMEs occurred yesterday (Jan 12), one after an
eruption on the northeast limb after which large post-eruptive loops
became visible in EUV imagery from SDO/AIA and SWAP. The second CME was
linked to a filament eruption located at central meridian in the
northern hemisphere. STEREO data indicate that these two CME are not
expected to be geoeffective. An elongated coronal hole is visible at
central meridian. The high speed wind stream emanating from it could
induce some perturbed geomagnetic conditions on Jan 16.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 045, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 20113 1255/ 12///
10060 21170 3008/ 4//// 80104 90270
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 20113 1255/ 13/08 13106
10005 2//// 3//// 4421/ 50070 60007 45413 01000
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60003 10321 00000
10011 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50100 60013 12526 15100
10012 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 40113 00000
10013 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60007 23718 00000
10014 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 25615 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 12081 04222 03015 44413 31309 06006 11821 2/802 07002
14125 0/101
USSPS 21305 12180 04012 07006 44713 31305 04002 11221 3/802 05002
13626 01203
USSPS 81202 13034 05522 01009 46512 21304 05003 10821 21302 06006
13026 21407 07002 24020 21302
USSPS 31405 13085 09242 05007 45413 23407 08004 10321 2/903 11010
12526 24413 12001 40113 0/101 13004 23718 24407 14001 25615 0/101
UMAGF 30503 20113 1004/ 12060 1/015 21111 33332
UMAGF 31523 20113 ///// 1200/ 1/008 22202 31233
INDAA 20102
1/005 00200 50050 12008 03302 4/012
2/033 02400 80100 08016 00800 8/014
3/009 00500 20020 08002 00800 8/006
4/008 01200 50100 25005 01200 5/010
5/012 01201 20120 12012 03802 4/017
6/024 01201 20080 21016 00802 4/016
7/008 01201 20050 05008 01600 8/009
END
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