| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.12.11 00:04l 245 Lines 8198 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : ECLOK0NAG03Y
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 111214/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 14 Dec 2011 22:01:52 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1323900111-03b34824e639fa40001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 14 Dec 2011 22:01:51.0019 (UTC) FILETIME=[FB9917B0:01CCBAAB]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.179
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.83088Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1323900111
----boundary_83640_151bf591-f206-4718-a362-f3ed499efc71
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Dec 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 348 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Dec 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was low. There were numerous C-class
events during the past 24 hours; the largest was a C7 at 1459Z from
Region 1367 (S18, beyond west limb). GOES SXI imagery showed that
Region 1367 was responsible for the other C-class events during the
period as well. Region 1374 (S18W11) continues to be the largest
group on the disk but was stable and quiet. New Region 1377 (N11E43)
was assigned and appears to be a small, D-type sunspot region. A
coronal mass ejection was noted from the west limb at about
14/0412Z; disk imagery indicate the source region was near the limb
and the CME is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days (15-17 December).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet tomorrow (15 December) but there is a
possibility for some brief unsettled periods due to a glancing blow
from the CME/DSF that occurred on 11 December. Quiet levels are
expected to prevail for 16-17 December.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Dec-17 Dec
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Dec 132
Predicted 15 Dec-17 Dec 130/128/126
90 Day Mean 14 Dec 146
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Dec 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Dec 002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Dec-17 Dec 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Dec-17 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 15/10/10
Major-severe storm 10/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_83640_151bf591-f206-4718-a362-f3ed499efc71
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_83640_151bf591-f206-4718-a362-f3ed499efc71--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
