| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 13.12.11 23:02l 255 Lines 8602 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : DCLOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 111213/2200z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 13 Dec 2011 22:00:43 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1323813639-03b34824e630ce60001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 13 Dec 2011 22:00:42.0991 (UTC) FILETIME=[A8A317F0:01CCB9E2]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.179
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.82992Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1323813639
----boundary_68834_968c6e8f-b270-48fe-be23-d84921a9694c
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Dec 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 347 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Dec 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was low. There were three, low-level
C-class flares during the past 24 hours, all from Region 1367
(S18W89). Region 1367 showed signs of new flux emerging as it was
rotating around the west limb. Region 1374 (S18E01) continues to be
the largest group on the disk (140 millionths) and shows a very
small delta configuration in the leader spot region, but was quiet
and stable. Two erupting prominences which led to coronal mass
ejections were observed: the first just entered the LASCO/C2 field
of view at 12/1848Z, slightly west of the north pole and the second
entered LASCO/C2 field of view at 13/0200Z off the southwest limb.
Neither of these CME's are expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. There was an interval of
unsettled levels from 0900-1500Z at high latitudes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for day one (14 December). Quiet levels with a
chance for some unsettled periods are expected for day two (15
December) due to a possible brief, glancing blow from an erupting
prominence/CME that was observed on 11 December. Quiet levels are
expected to prevail for the third day (16 December).
III. Event Probabilities 14 Dec-16 Dec
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Dec 133
Predicted 14 Dec-16 Dec 133/132/130
90 Day Mean 13 Dec 146
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Dec 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Dec 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Dec-16 Dec 005/005-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Dec-16 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/10/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 10/15/10
Major-severe storm 05/10/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_68834_968c6e8f-b270-48fe-be23-d84921a9694c
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_68834_968c6e8f-b270-48fe-be23-d84921a9694c--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
