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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.11.11 15:01l 124 Lines 4705 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Nov 17 1257 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU321
UGEOA 30512 11117 1245/ 9930/
10172 20172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Nov 2011 until 19 Nov
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 137 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 008
COMMENT: The Sun remains active with plenty of C-flares in the last
24h, the largest ones being a C7.9 flare peaking on november 16 at 15:05
UT (Cat 42, NOAA 11348) and a C6.0 flare with peak time 07:27 UT today
(Cat 46, NOAA 11346). Both flares were associated with a type II burst
in the Humain radio data. No Earth-directed CME's were observed by
SOHO/LASCO or STEREO/SECCHI related to any of the flares in the past
day. We can expect more flaring a C-level, with a chance for an M-flare
from NOAA region 11346 (Cat 46). Geomagnetic conditions can turn to
unsettled to active conditions tomorrow and the day after, due to the
possible arrival of a glancing blow from CME observed late on November
14th.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 075, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11117 1245/ 16///
1//// 21420 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11117 1245/ 15/07 17112
10033 2//// 3//// 472// 50030 60001 36008 00000
10034 2//// 3//// 472// 50100 60002 44918 01000
10035 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50080 60010 44111 04000
10036 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60002 43128 00000
10040 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 37223 00000
10042 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60008 47320 01000
10043 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 40716 02000
10045 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 12409 00000
10046 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60007 23217 19200
10047 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 24522 18200
10048 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60005 16427 04000
10049 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 10113 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 16085 10622 30006 37509 2/801 33009 46515 2/801 34004
44428 2/801 36004 22018 21305 37001 11309 2/801 40010 15127 21403
42003 27323 2/801 43002 42017 11303
USSPS 21305 16166 10332 50011 46009 24406 51013 46915 2/801 57014
21618 21405 59002 10909 0/101 63003 42616 01203 61011 14727 21404
53008 44828 2/801 65018 26923 41302
USSPS 81202 17008 08322 20009 47316 21302 19009 46410 21403 21003
45127 2/801 26002 10408 2/801 29008 14225 21402 31010 26525 2/801
25006 21118 21403
UMAGF 30503 11117 1004/ 16063 1/006 21110 31111
UMAGF 31523 11117 ///// 1600/ 1/004 22211 31011
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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