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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.11.11 14:24l 139 Lines 5637 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Nov 15 1320 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU319
UGEOA 30512 11115 1258/ 9930/
11152 20152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Nov 2011 until 17 Nov
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 161 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 165 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 162 / AP: 013
COMMENT: Several C-flares were observed in the past 24 hours, mainly
from NOAA AR 1348 (Cat 42). This same region produced an M1.2 flare this
morning with peak time 09:12 UT. This flare was associated with a
northward CME which is not expected to be geo-effective. SOHO/LASCO and
STEREO/SECCHI coronographs observed other CME's. The most prominent one
entered the LASCO field-of-view around 20:36 UT yesterday. This CME was
also observed by SECCHI and was directed mostly towards the south. It is
possible that we receive a glancing blow from this CME on november 18,
which could lead to unsettled or active geomagnetic conditions. The
northern part of a very large filament, running fron the notheast
towards the center of the solar disk, erupted yesterday around 15:30 UT,
which was observed by SDO and as a CME in all coronographs.
We expect more C-flares in the coming 24h, with a possibility for
another M-flare. Geomagnetic conditions will remain quiet.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 101, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11115 1258/ 14///
10187 21610 3001/ 4//// 80714 90540
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11115 1258/ 15/07 15112
10033 2//// 3//// 472// 50030 60001 36008 00000
10034 2//// 3//// 472// 50100 60002 44918 00000
10035 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50080 60010 44111 15000
10036 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60002 43128 00000
10040 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 37223 00000
10042 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60008 47320 03000
10043 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 40716 00000
10045 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 12409 00000
10046 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50080 60007 23217 03000
10047 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 24522 00000
10048 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50060 60005 16427 16200
10049 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 10113 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 14083 16242 27012 48019 21502 30006 34908 2/801 31006
37817 21302 32008 42711 21506 33013 43917 2/801 34005 41728 2/801
35001 36524 0/101 36009 25221 21304 37002 13808 11403 38001 13619
11302 39006 46220 21405 40004 17626 11403 41001 15510 0/101
USSPS 21305 14165 13432 53009 42128 3/801 60005 46520 01205 51012
44316 3/801 50005 43110 31405 48006 35208 3/801 60003 36724 0/101
57013 24318 31303 64002 25624 0/101 63001 10216 01202 59004 13409
01202 61009 17027 31402
USSPS 81202 15128 12222 27009 47020 21305 20009 44716 2/801 19012
43608 21403 21005 42728 2/801 30002 40316 21303 29015 16626 21402
26002 13008 21302 28002 25225 01202 25010 23918 21402 18007 35608
2/801
USSPS 31405 15075 17342 33003 36008 2/901 34010 44918 2/902 35008
44111 24510 36004 43128 2/902 40001 37223 0/101 42007 47320 24408
43002 40716 01205 45002 12409 22305 46008 23217 24407 47001 24522
01204 48006 16427 25405 49001 10113 01203
UMAGF 30503 11115 1004/ 14060 1/005 21111 30001
UMAGF 31523 11115 ///// 1400/ 1/001 20101 30000
UCMEO 93001 11114 1730/ 11112 61836 80242 0702/ 069// 323// 30649
11112 61757 81848 ///// ///// ///// 99999 PLAIN UCMEO 93001 11114
1830/ 11113 61836 80318 0702/ 069// 223// 31030 ///// ///// /////
///// ///// ///// 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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