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OK0NAG > SOLAR 03.11.11 14:57l 111 Lines 4120 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Nov 03 1253 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU307
UGEOA 30512 11103 1248/ 9930/
12032 20032 30032
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 03 Nov 2011 until 05 Nov
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 160 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 165 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 170 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 11339 (No Catania number yet) has been quite active
during the past 24 h. It produced numerous C-flares and 2 M-flares. The
first was an M4.3 flare, peaking at 22:01 UT yesterday evening and the
second one an M2.5 flare with peak time at 11h11 UT today. This first
M-class event was associated with a clear CME in SOHO/LASCO images. As
the source region is still on the east solar limb, this CME is not
earth-directed. We are waiting for more incoming data on the second
event.
We expect active solar conditions. More M-class flares are likely from
active region NOAA 11339, with a chance for an X-class event. We expect
geomagnetic quiet conditions to persist over the next 24h.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 092, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11103 1248/ 02///
1//// 21540 3009/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
02 2152 2201 2219 N20E73 M4.3 SN CTM/1
1339
END
USSPS 32404 01078 08132 18028 45307 31507 21002 41731 2/801 23010
10712 21406 24000 11318 01203 25006 14914 21303 26006 27914 2/801
USSPS 32404 02069 08622 18021 47405 2/801 21002 43130 2/801 23006
40711 21403 25003 13512 21403 26020 26513 31404 27063 17519 5/803
28002 14718 2/801
USSPS 21305 02160 09332 39001 43631 0/101 34021 47705 3/801 41006
41512 3/801 46030 26013 31404 44002 13213 01206 43001 14418 0/101
45126 17620 57609
UMAGF 30503 11103 1004/ 02064 1/011 22222 31121
UMAGF 31523 11103 ///// 0200/ 1/009 24222 32221
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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