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OK0NAG > SOLAR 30.10.11 13:40l 128 Lines 4799 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 30 1236 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU303
UGEOA 30512 11030 1220/ 9930/
11302 21302 30302
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 30 Oct 2011 until 01 Nov
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 022
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 122 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Nov 2011 10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The Sun has produced four small C-flares in the last 24 hours.
C-flares are probable within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for
an M-flare, especially from NOAA regions 11330, 11324 and an unnumbered
region displaying fast flux emergence at about E40N12.
ACE solar wind data indicate that a sector boundary crossing occurred
around 21h UT on October 29. The ACE instruments also observed a small
shock in the solar wind at 08:55 UT on October 30. The solar wind jumped
from 282 to 302 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field strength
(IMF) went from 3 to 5 nT. This shock is probably linked to the arrival
of one or more of the CMEs first seen by LASCO C2 around October 26, 10h
UT; October 27, 12h UT; and October 28, 21h UT. Currently, solar wind
speed and the IMF are still rising. Active geomagnetic conditions are
expected on the second half of October 30, with a chance for a minor
geomagnetic storm. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are likely for October
31 and November 1.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 058, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11030 1220/ 29///
1//// 21230 3000/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11030 1220/ 20/07 30112
10005 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 46128 01000
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60009 35211 01000
10007 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50240 60018 45411 03100
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 34024 00000
10017 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 30813 00000
10019 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50230 60028 15212 04000
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 22020 00000
10021 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 36218 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 42415 04000
10023 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 30506 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 13120 00000
10025 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60008 18117 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 29130 06022 11007 46513 2/801 18033 41508 51616 21002
11731 2/801 22001 41215 11302
USSPS 21305 29191 06632 27009 46911 2/801 34002 41808 44322 39054
11232 2/801 40002 41515 01202
USSPS 81202 30003 05722 00002 46813 21302 05004 42108 44511 09002
41815 21303 08002 11130 2/801
UMAGF 30503 11030 1004/ 29067 1/004 20010 30110
UMAGF 31523 11030 ///// 2900/ 1/000 20001 30000
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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