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OK0NAG > SOLAR 03.05.08 23:59l 73 Lines 2894 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Sat, 3 May 2008 22:01:41 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 May 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 124 Issued at 2200Z on 03 May 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft reached a maximum of 580 km/s at
03/2022Z and Bz ranged between +/- 7. ACE signatures indicated that
Earth had entered a coronal hole high speed stream at approximately
03/1200Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. There is a slight
chance for isolated active levels at middle latitudes and minor
storm conditions at high latitudes due to a high speed stream
throughout the forecast period (04 - 06 May).
III. Event Probabilities 04 May-06 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 May 067
Predicted 04 May-06 May 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 03 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 May 007/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 May 008/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 008/012-005/008-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 May-06 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/15/20
Minor storm 20/05/15
Major-severe storm 10/01/05
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