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OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.10.11 14:34l 129 Lines 4952 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 24 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU297
UGEOA 30512 11024 1128/ 9930/
11242 22242 30242
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 24 Oct 2011 until 26 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 154 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 152 / AP: 037
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 150 / AP: 013
COMMENT: Solar activity is eruptive, and is expected to stay at this
level (C-class flares) with a small chance for an M-class flare. NOAA
Regions 11324 and 11330 are the most likely sources of flare activity.
The proton flux observed by GOES (>10 MeV) reached the proton event
threshold for a brief period around 15:00 UT on October 23, and has
since decreased slowly. This increase was linked to the M1.3 flare of
October 22, which occurred near the west limb.
A shock signature was observed in the ACE solar wind data around 23:20
UT on October 23, and was probably caused by a glancing blow from a CME.
Due to the expected arrival of the CME from October 22, 02:00 UT,
geomagnetic conditions are expected to reach active levels on October
25, with a chance for a minor storm. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are
expected afterwards.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 083, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11024 1128/ 23///
1//// 21560 3003/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11024 1128/ 20/07 24112
10005 2//// 3//// 472// 50200 60002 46128 00000
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60009 35211 00000
10007 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50240 60018 45411 17100
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 34024 00000
10017 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 30813 00000
10019 2//// 3//// 4622/ 50230 60028 15212 17100
10020 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60008 22020 02000
10021 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 36218 00000
10022 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 42415 00000
10023 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 30506 00000
10024 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 13120 00000
10025 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60008 18117 02000
99999
USSPS 32404 23088 11822 11015 11213 24626 12011 14015 34409 15015
31821 21411 18029 16506 41406 19018 17309 21404 20002 45111 11302
USSPS 21305 23149 11432 38003 45409 01203 28019 32222 31313 27021
10712 37541 34057 16308 51507
USSPS 81202 24002 12632 05067 15808 54511 02015 13015 34313 00016
10412 37644 06004 45810 01202 01022 32719 31406
UMAGF 30503 11024 1004/ 23067 1/008 21111 31220
UMAGF 31523 11024 ///// 2300/ 1/003 20011 31212
INDAA 11017
1/020 00500 50050 05008 00201 2/008
2/008 00801 20020 05016 00800 5/008
3/012 01600 50160 16008 00200 8/010
4/016 01200 50050 05008 02400 5/010
5/016 00801 20020 02005 00800 5/007
6/005 00200 20020 05005 00200 2/003
7/002 00500 50050 08008 00501 2/006
END
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