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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 2 May 2008 22:01:40 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 May 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 123 Issued at 2200Z on 02 May 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. Wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft reached a maximum of 517 km/s at
02/0719Z and Bz ranged between +/- 8 nT. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels for the summary period
(03 - 05 May) due to a coronal hole high speed stream. There is a
slight chance for minor storm conditions at middle latitudes and
major storm levels at high latitudes during the period.
III. Event Probabilities 03 May-05 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 May 068
Predicted 03 May-05 May 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 02 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 May 006/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 May 010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 May-05 May 010/015-010/015-008/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 May-05 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/35/15
Minor storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/35/35
Minor storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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