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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.10.11 14:46l 123 Lines 4660 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 15 1242 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU288
UGEOA 30512 11015 1220/ 9930/
11152 21152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Oct 2011 until 17 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 136 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 135 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 134 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity was low, several C-class flares in past 24h,
the strongest: C1.3 from NOAA AR 1319 (Catania 7) peaking at 01:12 UT.
All active regions are stable or decaying, so there are low chances of
larger events. There was a backsided halo CME reported by CACTUS at
12:24 UT on October 14, it is not expected to be geoeffective. The solar
wind stream from the coronal hole has arrived and produced some
unsettled conditions, solar wind speed is close to 500 km/s now, expect
more unsettled to minor storm conditions in the next 48h.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 101, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11015 1220/ 14///
10203 21360 3//// 4//// 80212 91020
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11015 1220/ 14/06 15112
10004 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 43319 00000
10005 2//// 3//// 4341/ 50280 60009 11628 16100
10006 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50280 60020 22611 04100
10007 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50130 60024 12411 16100
10008 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 23826 00000
10010 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60005 42121 00000
10011 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 33920 00000
10012 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 13027 00000
10013 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 15613 00000
10093 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 47824 00000
10096 2//// 3//// 474// 50160 60006 44423 00000
10098 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50060 60006 34113 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 14108 14022 96027 44823 4/801 97006 34416 21302 99026
11727 41305 00001 43820 0/102 01030 22412 21406 02006 23526 2/801
03003 42521 21303 04008 12311 24515 05002 34421 11303 06002 15412
0/102
USSPS 21305 14148 14932 10026 45022 5/801 17001 43919 01202 20007
42720 31303 11010 34916 3/801 22003 34622 01205 19008 23426 3/801
18030 22212 31409 21017 12111 37416 15033 11327 51307 23003 15213
01204
USSPS 81202 15050 14532 90030 10727 41305 95015 10410 24527 96005
14510 21406 92026 21413 44412 93006 22527 2/801 88012 35015 24409
94002 43525 21304 87027 45525 4/801
UMAGF 30503 11015 1004/ 14061 1/010 21111 31132
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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