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OK0NAG > SOLAR 07.10.11 22:49l 140 Lines 5488 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 5 Oct 2011 12:07:31 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Oct 05 1206 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU278
UGEOA 30512 11005 1153/ 9930/
11052 21052 30052
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 05 Oct 2011 until 07 Oct
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 132 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Oct 2011 10CM FLUX: 130 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Active region 1312 turns over the east limb. The region is
magnetically connected with active region 11309. This might trigger
C-class flares. A shock arrived near Earth this morning around 06:45UT.
The total interplanetary magnetic field has increased between 10 and 15
nT. Active conditions are possible. The alert about the halo CME of Oct
04, visible at 12:12UT in SOHO/LASCO is backsided, contrary to what was
stated in the presto of Oct 05, 07:31UT. A possible Earth directed CME
however is visible in STEREO A/COR2 on Oct 04, after the time gap 11:54
- 19:09UT. A shock arrival is possible in 4-5 days.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 070, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 11005 1153/ 04///
10149 21300 3006/ 4//// 80310 90590
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 11005 1153/ 05/07 05110
10082 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60002 48013 00000
10085 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50140 60006 45412 02000
10086 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60002 43613 00000
10088 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 40217 00000
10092 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60006 30332 01000
10093 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50140 60004 13724 03100
10094 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50100 60009 21611 00000
10096 2//// 3//// 472// 50110 60001 16924 01000
10097 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 21524 00000
10098 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50020 60005 27913 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 04072 10732 85021 47812 21403 89013 43911 21305 90002
42314 2/801 91002 10716 21503 93018 15123 21403 94005 21333 21404
95005 23112 21407 96018 18523 2/801
USSPS 21305 04178 10532 98021 48513 41403 02017 44311 41304 03003
43015 2/801 08005 20633 0/204 09015 22612 31408 04001 10716 0/101
06018 14623 31403 10024 17822 5/801
USSPS 81202 04010 10932 82003 11015 21409 84018 15423 21403 86003
23212 21406 85004 21432 21405 81002 42015 2/801 80026 43812 41308
76030 46416 57607
USSPS 81202 05029 10322 80018 45210 21303 81002 43414 1/801 82001
10217 01203 84016 13923 21403 87022 17123 2/801 85005 20232 11404
86011 22011 21406 88003 27512 01102
USSPS 31405 05071 14142 82001 48013 0/102 85014 45412 21306 86002
43613 2/902 88002 40217 01205 92004 30332 24406 93014 13724 24404
94010 21611 21309 96011 16924 2/901 97001 21524 0/101 98002 27913
01205
UMAGF 30503 11005 1004/ 04066 1/012 22222 31221
UMAGF 31523 11005 ///// 0400/ 1/006 22022 32222
UCMEO 93001 11004 1930/ 11004 61236 91542 0312/ 030// 333// 41652
11004 61226 81326 ///// ///// 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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