| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.09.11 00:33l 227 Lines 7577 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : M9LOK0NAG00Q
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110922/2228z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 22 Sep 2011 22:28:37 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1316729328-03b348676dc5c320001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 22 Sep 2011 22:28:31.0727 (UTC) FILETIME=[F5687FF0:01CC7976]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.222
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.75297Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1316729328
----boundary_579592_66da68fc-0f10-4c4e-8de4-ae2febfbd54c
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Sep 22 2224 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY ::::::::::
SDF Number 265 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Sep 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Activity was high. New Region 1302 (N11E74) produced a
long-duration X1/2n flare at 22/1101Z. The X1 flare was associated
with Types II and IV radio sweeps, a 970 sfu Tenflare, and a full
halo CME. The CME, already in progress in SOHO LASCO images at
22/1330Z, had an estimated speed of around 1392 km/s. This CME is
not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be high,
with a slight chance for another X-class flare from Region 1302.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (23-24 September). Quiet to
unsettled levels, with isolated active levels at high latitudes, are
expected on day three (25 September), due to a weak coronal hole
high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 23 Sep-25 Sep
Class M 70/70/70
Class X 20/20/20
Proton 10/10/10
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Sep 151
Predicted 23 Sep-25 Sep 155/160/165
90 Day Mean 22 Sep 105
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Sep 002/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Sep 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Sep-25 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_579592_66da68fc-0f10-4c4e-8de4-ae2febfbd54c
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_579592_66da68fc-0f10-4c4e-8de4-ae2febfbd54c--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
